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April
8th
2007
Your Daily Fantasy Rx
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Our Philosophy

2007 Week in Preview: Week 2

by Tim Polko

Today's Fantasy Rx

Schedule recommendations for teams with 8 games

Good for hitters / Bad for pitchers
Cleveland: 2 Home vs. SEA; 3 Home vs. LAA; 3 Home vs. CHW.
Seattle: 2 Road at CLE; 3 Road at BOS; 3 Home vs. TEX.


Schedule recommendations for teams with 7 games

Good for hitters / Bad for pitchers
Detroit: 3 Road at BAL; 4 Road at TOR.
Kansas City: 3 Road at TOR; 4 Road at BAL.
Minnesota: 3 Home vs. NYY; 4 Home vs. TB.
Tampa Bay: 3 Road at TEX; 4 Road at MIN.
Toronto: 3 Home vs. KC; 4 Home vs. DET.


Schedule recommendations for teams with 6 games

Good for hitters / Good for pitchers
Atlanta: 3 Home vs. WAS; 3 Home vs. FLO.
Boston: 3 Home vs. SEA; 3 Home vs. LAA.
Chicago Cubs: 3 Home vs. HOU; 3 Home vs. CIN.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 3 Home vs. COL; 3 Home vs. SD.
New York Mets: 3 Home vs. PHI; 3 Home vs. WAS.
Oakland: 3 Home vs. CHW; 3 Home vs. NYY.
San Diego: 3 Home vs. SF; 3 Road at LAD.

Good for hitters / Bad for pitchers
Arizona: 3 Home vs. CIN; 3 Home vs. COL.
Cincinnati: 3 Road at ARI; 3 Road at CHC.
Houston: 3 Road at CHC; 3 Road at PHI.
Los Angeles Angels: 3 Road at CLE; 3 Road at BOS.
Milwaukee: 3 Road at FLO; 3 Road at STL.
Philadelphia: 3 Road at NYM; 3 Home vs. HOU.
Pittsburgh: 3 Home vs. STL; 3 Home vs. SF.
St. Louis: 3 Road at PIT; 3 Home vs. MIL.
Texas: 3 Home vs. TB; 3 Road at SEA.

Bad for hitters / Good for pitchers
Chicago White Sox: 3 Road at OAK; 3 Road at CLE.
Colorado: 3 Road at LAD; 3 Road at ARI.
Florida: 3 Home vs. MIL; 3 Road at ATL.
New York Yankees: 3 Road at MIN; 3 Road at OAK.

Bad for hitters / Bad for pitchers
San Francisco: 3 Road at SD; 3 Road at PIT.
Washington: 3 Road at ATL; 3 Road at NYM.


Pitchers with 2 starts(to deploy everywhere you own them):
Bronson Arroyo: Mon:@ARI(D.Davis; Sun:@CHC(J.Marquis?)
Josh Beckett: Tue:SEA(Ho.Ramirez); Sun:LAA(Er.Santana)
A.J. Burnett: Mon:KC(Od.Perez); Sat:DET(C.Durbin)
Daniel Cabrera: Mon:DET(C.Durbin); Sat:KC(Od.Perez)
Matt Cain: Mon:@SD(C.Young); Sat:@PIT(Z.Duke)
Jose Contreras: Mon:@OAK(R.Harden); Sun:@CLE(J.Sowers)
Doug Davis: Mon:CIN(B.Arroyo); Sun:COL(J.Francis)
Cole Hamels: Mon:@NYM(J.Maine); Sat:HOU(J.Jennings)
Rich Harden: Mon:CHW(J.Contreras); Sun:NYY(A.Pettitte)
Felix Hernandez: Mon:@CLE(C.Sabathia); Sun:TEX(B.McCarthy)
Tim Hudson: Tue:WAS(M.Chico); Sun:FLO(An.Sanchez)
Ted Lilly: Mon:HOU(W.Williams); Sat:CIN(E.Milton?)
John Maine: Mon:PHI(C.Hamels); Sun:WAS(M.Chico)
Brandon McCarthy: Mon:TB(Ed.Jackson); Sun:@SEA(F.Hernandez)
Matt Morris: Tue:@SD(C.Hensley); Sun:@PIT(I.Snell)
Anibal Sanchez: Mon:MIL(J.Suppan); Sun:@ATL(T.Hudson)
Ervin Santana: Tue:@CLE(J.Sowers); Sun:@BOS(J.Beckett)
Jason Schmidt: Mon:COL(J.Francis); Sun:SD(C.Young)
Ian Snell: Mon:STL(B.Looper); Sun:SF(M.Morris)
Jeremy Sowers: Tue:LAA(Er.Santana); Sun:CHW(J.Contreras)
Jeff Suppan: Mon:@FLO(An.Sanchez); Sun:@STL(B.Looper?)
Jeff Weaver: Mon:@CLE(F.Carmona); Sat:TEX(V.Padilla)
Jake Westbrook: Mon:SEA(F.Hernandez?); Sat:CHW(J.Danks)
Jaret Wright: Tue:DET(N.Robertson); Sun:KC(Z.Greinke)
Chris Young: Mon:SF(M.Cain); Sun:LAD(J.Schmidt)

Pitchers with 2 starts to deploy only in leagues that don't count qualitative stats:
Boof Bonser: Tue:NYY(B.Bonser); Sun:TB(J.Seo)
Matt Chico: Tue:@ATL(T.Hudson); Sun:@NYM(J.Maine)
Chad Durbin: Mon:@BAL(D.Cabrera); Sat:@TOR(A.Burnett)
Jeff Francis: Mon:@LAD(J.Schmidt); Sun:@ARI(D.Davis)
Zach Greinke: Tue:@TOR(J.Towers); Sun:@BAL(Jar.Wright)
Edwin Jackson: Mon:@TEX(B.McCarthy); Sat:@MIN(S.Ponson)
Braden Looper: Mon:@PIT(I.Snell); Sun:MIL(J.Suppan)
Jason Marquis?: Tue:HOU(C.Sampson); Sun:CIN(B.Arroyo)???
Carl Pavano: Mon:@MIN(S.Ponson); Sat:@OAK(J.Blanton)
Odalis Perez: Mon:@TOR(A.Burnett); Sat:@BAL(D.Cabrera)
Andy Pettitte: Tue:@MIN(B.Bonser); Sun:@OAK(R.Harden)
Sidney Ponson: Mon:NYY(S.Ponson); Sat:TB(Ed.Jackson)
Nate Robertson: Tue:@BAL(Jar.Wright); Sun:@TOR(J.Towers)
Jae Seo: Tue:@TEX(Jam.Wright); Sun:@MIN(B.Bonser)
Josh Towers: Tue:KC(Z.Greinke); Sun:DET(N.Robertson)
Woody Williams: Mon:@CHC(T.Lilly); Sun:@PHI(F.Garcia?)


Diamond Challenge

SP(6)
Johan Santana: Fri:TB(S.Kamir)
Roy Oswalt: Fri:@PHI(B.Myers)
Chris Carpenter: Tue:@PIT(T.Gorzelanny); Sun:MIL(J.Suppan)???
John Smoltz: Fri:FLO(D.Willis)
Ben Sheets: Fri:@STL(An.Reyes)
Jake Peavy: Sat:@LAD(R.Wolf)
Roy Halladay: Fri:DET(J.Bonderman)
Brandon Webb: Fri:COL(J.Fogg)
Josh Beckett: Tue:SEA(Ho.Ramirez); Sun:LAA(Er.Santana)
Jon Papelbon: 3 Home vs. SEA; 3 Home vs. LAA.
Rich Harden: Mon:CHW(J.Contreras); Sun:NYY(A.Pettitte)
Chris Young: Mon:SF(M.Cain); Sun:LAD(J.Schmidt)
A.J. Burnett: Mon:KC(Od.Perez); Sat:DET(C.Durbin)
Felix Hernandez: Mon:@CLE(C.Sabathia); Sun:TEX(B.McCarthy)

We anticipated running Santana this week with Beckett, Papelbon, Harden, Young, and Burnett. Instead, the Seattle/Cleveland rainouts give us a likely Felix double, so we'll deploy our six cheapest pitchers despite the cap room we leave on the table. While we though about dumping Jorge Julio, we like his schedule better than that of Salomon Torres and therefore will wait one more week before seriously considering a move.

With the cap room to run anyone we want on offense and Colorado on the road, Iannetta and Atkins will cede lineup spots to Hanley Ramirez and David Wright. We also will flip Frank Thomas, heading to Toronto for a homestand, for Bill Hall, playing in Florida and St. Louis. Lastly, with Shane Victorino seemingly platooning and Philly facing just four right-handers this week, Holliday will enter the lineup to maximize our power potential.

Rotohelp.com(14th lg; 184th div; 3287th overall)
Week 2: April 9-April 15

C	Brian McCann		880
C	Josh Bard		300
1B	Ryan Howard		1420
1B	Travis Hafner		1380
2B	Ian Kinsler		630
2B	Howie Kendrick		520
3B	David Wright		1550
3B	Mark Teahen		750
SS	Jose Reyes		1610 
SS	Hanley Ramirez		1100
OF	Matt Holliday		1410
OF	Manny Ramirez		1390
OF	J.D. Drew		940
OF	Willy Taveras		860
OF	Rocco Baldelli		750
OF	Delmon Young		750
DH	Albert Pujols		2050
DH	Frank Thomas		890

SP	Josh Beckett		1000
SP	Jon Papelbon		900
SP	Rich Harden		890
SP	Chris Young		880
SP	A.J. Burnett		880
SP	Felix Hernandez		840
RP	Francisco Cordero	1260
RP	Takashi Saito		1200
RP	Joe Borowski		1110
RP	Jorge Julio		920

Total Salary for Week 2: 	29060


Internet Challenge

SP(6)
Johan Santana: No start.
Roy Oswalt: No start.
Ben Sheets: No start.
Jake Peavy: No start.
Roy Halladay: No start.
Brandon Webb: No start.
Josh Beckett: Tue:SEA(Ho.Ramirez)
Daisuke Matsuzaka: Wed:SEA(J.Washburn)
Dan Haren: No start.
Jon Papelbon: 3 Home vs. SEA.
Rich Harden: Mon:CHW(J.Contreras)
Felix Hernandez: Mon:@CLE(C.Sabathia)
Matt Cain: Mon:@SD(C.Young)
Along with our five starters and Papelbon, we'll deploy Alex Rios for Shane Victorino, who only appears certain to start one game before Friday. The Rockies' road trip to Los Angeles means that Iannetta, Matsui, Atkins, and Holliday all will sit, and while this leaves 1310 on the table due to our super cheap rotation, we're unwilling to make any roster moves at this time since we expect this issue will solve itself over the next couple of weeks.

Rotohelp.com(14th lg; 450th overall)
Week 2a: April 9-April 12

C	Brian McCann		880 
C	Josh Bard		300
1B	Ryan Howard		1420
1B	Travis Hafner		1380
2B	Howie Kendrick		520
2B	Ian Kinsler		630
3B	David Wright		1550
3B	Mark Teahen		750
SS	Jose Reyes		1610
SS	Bill Hall		900
OF	Manny Ramirez		1390
OF	Alex Rios		1000
OF	J.D. Drew		940
OF	Willy Taveras		860
OF	Rocco Baldelli		750
OF	Delmon Young		750
DH	Albert Pujols		2050 
DH	Hanley Ramirez		1100

SP	Josh Beckett		1000
SP	Daisuke Matsuzaka		950 
SP	Jon Papelbon		900
SP	Rich Harden		890
SP	Felix Hernandez		840 
SP	Matt Cain		840
RP	Francisco Cordero	1260
RP	Takashi Saito		1200
RP	Joe Borowski		1110
RP	Jorge Julio		920

Total Week 2a Salary:		28690


Fantasy Baseball & Fanball.Com Cap Challenge (aka Budget Baseball)
(Same rules = same rosters and moves for both teams)

SP(6)
Johan Santana: Fri:TB(S.Kamir)
Roy Oswalt: Fri:@PHI(B.Myers)
Chris Carpenter: Tue:@PIT(T.Gorzelanny); Sun:MIL(J.Suppan)???
Jake Peavy: Sat:@LAD(R.Wolf)
Josh Beckett: Tue:SEA(Ho.Ramirez); Sun:LAA(Er.Santana)
Ben Sheets: Fri:@STL(An.Reyes)
A.J. Burnett: Mon:KC(Od.Perez); Sat:DET(C.Durbin)
Chris Young: Mon:SF(M.Cain); Sun:LAD(J.Schmidt)
Rich Harden: Mon:CHW(J.Contreras); Sun:NYY(A.Pettitte)
Jon Papelbon: 3 Home vs. SEA; 3 Home vs. LAA.

Beckett, Burnett, Young, Harden, and Papelbon appear automatic, and then since Carpenter at least might double, he seems a logical sixth option here. Once again, we'll wait one more week to see if Julio rebounds before making a move here.

Full schedule provide incentive to deploy Joe Mauer and Grady Sizemore for Josh Bard and Matt Holliday. Thanks to our cheap pitching, we also possess the cap room to run Ryan Howard and David Wright over Adrian Gonzalez and Garrett Atkins. Ian Kinsler, Miguel Cabrera, Hanley Ramirez, and Nick Swisher stay benched.

Rotohelp.com(FB: 9th lg; 956th overall)
& Rotohelp.com(FC: 11th lg; 1718th overall)
Week 2: April 9-April 15

 
C	Joe Mauer		1890
C	Brian McCann		1880
1B	Ryan Howard		3240
1B	Prince Fielder		1850 
2B	Chase Utley		2850
2B	Brandon Phillips	1160
3B	David Wright		2900  
3B	Mark Teahen		1980
SS	Jose Reyes		2460 
SS	Bill Hall		2410 
OF	Grady Sizemore		2760
OF	J.D. Drew		2640
OF	Rocco Baldelli		1500
OF	Delmon Young		1500 
OF	Willy Taveras		1460
OF	Chris B. Young		1000
DH	Albert Pujols		3890
DH	Stephen Drew		1450

SP	Chris Carpenter		3010 
SP	Josh Beckett		2520
SP	Jon Papelbon		1950 
SP	A.J. Burnett		1940
SP	Chris Young		1760 
SP	Rich Harden		1690
RP	Takashi Saito		2200
RP	Joe Borowski		2100
RP	Jorge Julio		1920
RP	Jose Valverde		1880

Total Salary for Week 2:	59790


Today's Fantasy Rx: Don't panic. One week of stats means very, very little, especially with clubs like Seattle and Cleveland only playing three games. Limited offense in particular shouldn't concern you given the awful weather around the majors, so unless injury necessitates obtaining a replacement at a particular position, don't jump the gun by churning your roster this earlier in the year.


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