by Tim Polko
Today's Fantasy Rx
Welcome to our weekly LPR rankings, our primary method of identifying highly skilled and/or consistently effective pitchers. While we have not changed this system since last season, feel free to refer to this key for a complete description of the codes. We have included the five most recent 2006 QA scores for each starter, along with the 10 most recent QA scores for each reliever, tabulating all data through July 26th . Pitchers with no QA scores have not pitched this year, so do not roster any of them unless you see someone ready to return to the majors.
1
2 - C.C. Sabathia(24402)
AXax - Francisco Liriano(54344)
ABX - Jeremy Bonderman(44243)
AB - John Lackey(44504)
B - Jose Contreras(33344)
Justin Verlander(54535)
After nearly four months of quality starts and a dozen victories, albeit without dominating many teams, Verlander finally joins Bonderman at the top of these rankings. Of course, everyone on here save Sabathia continues to excel right now, making them your top trade targets in almost any league.
23abcxyz - Mariano Rivera(4523324555)
abcxyz - Akinori Otsuka(4345434423)
abcxyz - Juan Rincon(5335353345)
abcyz - Francisco Cordero(2334444332)
abxyz - Scot Shields(5415444554)
abcx - J.J. Putz(5443533433)
abxy - Bobby Jenks(3545432434)
BYx - Hector Carrasco(3443353334)
Cax - Dennys Reyes(4333553544)
ax - Jeremy Accardo(3443544223)
I also can't believe Reyes secured this spot, but given the support provided by his fellow relievers on the Twins, he seems surprisingly safe for teams looking for low-risk roster filler.
2
ABY - Felix Hernandez(44525)
BXY - Roy Halladay(35333)
AX - Kevin Millwood(30453)
BC - Matt Clement(40050)
B - Josh Beckett(33045)
Y - Bartolo Colon(34340)
3bcyz - Julian Tavarez(3133342323)
abcxyz - B.J. Ryan(4553421434)
abxy - Huston Street(5525534545)
abxy - Justin Duchscherer(4354524532)
aby - Todd Jones(4343542355)
Street seems as a solid as any closer right now, so I see no reason he shouldn't save as many as twenty games over the balance of the season.
3
ACXZ - Curt Schilling(34543)
BCY - A.J. Burnett(03450)
BCZ - Randy Johnson(24543)
CZ - Freddy Garcia(22324)
abxyz - Mike Timlin(3443444333)
bcyz - Kiko Calero(5335254253)
Kevin Gregg(3443444343)
Travis Harper(3234452154)
A
BCXYZ - Johan Santana(34434)
BY - Rich Harden(44400)
CZ - Jake Westbrook(53403)
B - Erik Bedard(54554)
X - Jered Weaver(34442)
X - Mike Mussina(03355)
Jon Garland(14444)
Jeremy Sowers(44024)
Zach Miner(34400)
B
XY - Kelvim Escobar(40313)
Barry Zito(33242)
Jae Weong Seo(13121)
a - Scott Downs(5234340554)
C
Odalis Perez(40000)
Nate Robertson(33233)
Za - Joe Kennedy(3043242450)
Z - Carl Pavano
X
Dan Haren(53443)
Javier Vazquez(13433)
Tim Corcoran(33330)
Y
Esteban Loaiza(22330)
Z
Mark Buehrle(23021)
David Wells(00)
a
bcxyz - Joe Nathan(3444445445)
bcxyz - Francisco Rodriguez(4535244234)
xy - Manny Delcarmen(5554344343)
xy - Chris Ray(5423254532)
b - Ambiorix Burgos(3254243335)
x - Craig Hansen(4343453435)
x - Fausto Carmona(5353354355)
x - Scott Feldman(5244433434)
x - Joe Nelson(1525435344)
x - Jon Papelbon(3343334534)
y - Neal Cotts(5442451323)
z - Javier Lopez(4452405033)
Matt Thornton(5442403455)
Chris Britton(5425124454)
Rick Bauer(3144453434)
Kyle Lohse(0445345332)
Brian Sikorski(4432213444)
Matt Smith(5224234443)
Fernando Cabrera(2253442542)
Rafael Perez(3355143402)
Despite an initial lack of save opportunities, Fausto Carmona appears fully prepared to close for Cleveland indefinitely. He owns the skills to take advantage of his current situation, especially with most of his competition suffering from command or health issues.
b
cxyz - Rafael Betancourt(3330444334)
cxy - Kyle Farnsworth(4344413454)
xyz - Ron Villone(3323333304)
cy - Mike MacDougal(53454)
cz - Octavio Dotel
yz - Rudy Seanez(2530424245)
y - David Riske(4342334124)
y - George Sherrill(5352335422)
y - Scott Schoeneweis(4242330044)
y - Jay Witasick(23321)
Scott Sauerbeck(3431232450)
Tyler Walker(3334332432)
MacDougal's move to the White Sox disappoints us thanks to the two leagues where we just lost a closer, but he still remains reasonably valuable and at least might snag a few saves if Ozzie rests Jenks.
c
xz - Todd Williams(3413453235)
yz - Jeremy Affeldt(3334434124)
yz - Guillermo Mota(3452333324)
yz - Dustin Hermanson
x - J.C. Romero(4434343343)
z - Brendan Donnelly(3453350254)
z - LaTroy Hawkins(2243335523)
z - Keith Foulke(4133353313)
Brian Meadows(4543442322)
Mike Myers(0503523234)
x
y - Justin Speier(3233344545)
y - Fernando Rodney(3503333423)
C.J. Wilson(4534234344)
Rafael Soriano(4433245245)
Joaquin Benoit(3414534525)
Kurt Birkins(4542335501)
Jamie Walker(3332344443)
Jimmy Gobble(1343432534)
Joel Zumaya(3333543432)
Sean Green(3351433333)
y
z - Jason Frasor(4325323333)
Ron Flores(3235523023)
Marco Carvajal
z
Rodrigo Lopez(30330)
1 - K/9 of 6.0+, BB/9 of 3.0-, H/9 of 9.0-, HR/9 of 1.0-,
and G-F of 1.0+ in 25+ IP in 2006.
2 - K/9 of 6.0+, BB/9 of 3.0-, H/9 of 9.0-, HR/9 of 1.0-,
and G-F of 1.0+ in 25+ IP in 2005.
3 - K/9 of 6.0+, BB/9 of 3.0-, H/9 of 9.0-, HR/9 of 1.0-,
and G-F of 1.0+ in 25+ IP in 2004.
QA score for starts: up to 5 total points, one for each statistical goal, to any starter who pitches at least 5 innings and fulfills any of the following skill qualifications: K>=IP-2, BB<=IP/3, H<=IP, HR<=1, and G-F>=1.00. Any starter who doesn't reach any of the required statistical goals or fails to pitch 5 innings earns a 0 QA score. Scores of 5 and 4 qualify as DOMinant outings, a 3 is DULl, and anything below 3 ranks as a skill DISaster.
QA score for relief outings: up to 5 total points, one for each statistical goal, to any reliever who retires at least one batter and fulfills any of the following skill qualifications: K>=IP, BB=0, H<=IP, HR=0, and G-F>=1.00. Any reliever who doesn't reach any of the required statistical goals or fails to retire a batter earns a 0 QA score. Scores of 5 and 4 qualify as DOMinant outings, a 3 is DULl, and anything below 3 ranks as a skill DISaster.
Starters must pitch in five games before earning any of the following DOM or DIS ratings; relievers must appear in no less than 10 games before earning DOM/DIS consideration. All pitchers are evaluated as relievers aside from those who reached both 5 starts in a given season and qualified for DOM or DIS ratings.
A - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2006 starts
B - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2005 starts
C - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2004 starts
X - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2006 starts
Y - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2005 starts
Z - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2004 starts
a - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2006 relief outings
b - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2005 relief outings
c - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2004 relief outings
x - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2006 relief outings
y - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2005 relief outings
z - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2004 relief outings
We'll continue tomorrow with this week's NL LPR article.
Internet Challenge
SP(6)
Johan Santana: Sun:DET(J.Bonderman)
Roy Oswalt: Sat:ARI(J.Cruz)
Pedro Martinez: Fri:@ATL(Ho.Ramirez)
Chris Carpenter: Sun:@CHC(C.Zambrano)
Randy Johnson: Sat:TB(J.Seo)
Jake Peavy: No start.
Roy Halladay: Sun:@OAK(S.Komine)
Mark Buehrle: No start.
Curt Schilling: Sun:LAA(J.Lackey)
Felix Hernandez: Fri:@CLE(J.Sowers)
John Lackey: Sun:@BOS(C.Schilling)
Dan Haren: No start.
Francisco Liriano: Fri:DET(Z.Miner)
With a surprising wealth of decent options, Santana, Randy, Halladay, Felix, and Liriano are all easy calls. Due to cap reasons, Schilling, who's pitching great at home, edges Oswalt, Pedro, and the hot Carpenter, even though he faces Lackey on Sunday. Street also replaces Dempster.
We lack the cap room to deploy Victor and don't trust the performances of Encarnacion or Swisher, however with Texas at home against Kansas, we can't resist deploying Tex for Figgins.
Rotohelp.com(12th lg; 318th overall)
Week 17b: July 28-July 30
C Joe Mauer 770
C Josh Willingham 340
1B Travis Hafner 1180
1B Ryan Howard 880
2B Chase Utley 1190
2B Rickie Weeks 620
3B David Wright 1210
3B Garrett Atkins 610
SS Felipe Lopez 1070
SS Jose Reyes 1030
OF Jason Bay 1380
OF Pat Burrell 1040
OF Matt Holliday 1040
OF Chad Tracy 1020
OF Corey Patterson 910
OF Jermaine Dye 840
DH Albert Pujols 2060
DH Mark Teixeira 1470
SP Johan Santana 1960
SP Randy Johnson 1360
SP Roy Halladay 1230
SP Curt Schilling 1070
SP Felix Hernandez 960
SP Francisco Liriano 700
RP Huston Street 1300
RP J.J. Putz 890
RP Jon Papelbon 890
RP Chris Ray 820
Total Salary for Week 17b: 29840
Today's Fantasy Rx: I'm impressed with Dayton Moore's early record of moves in Kansas City, particularly in regard to pitching staff. Although he seemingly jumped the gun on moving MacDougal, sending Tony Graffanino for Jorge de la Rosa adds a youngster with as much upside as any pitcher in the system save Zach Greinke and maybe Denny Bautista. Turning Elmer Dessens into Odalis Perez and a couple of interesting A-ball prospects qualifies as an absolute coup, especially with the Dodgers paying for much of the difference in salaries. Perez still possesses excellent control, and since Kauffman Stadium reduces homers more than any park in the league, I fully anticipate a significant rebound for the former top lefty. Consider a significant FAAB bid on Perez if you need pitching, as well as a token ante for de la Rosa if building for the future.
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