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July 11th 2006 |
Your Daily Fantasy Rx
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Our Philosophy |
by Tim Polko As rosters are due for this contest at 9pm(CDT) tomorrow evening, today I'll discuss our player selections and corresponding rationale for the final regular season CDM game.
Only a few relievers deserved consideration given the uncomfortable fact that Mid-Season only allows a 55000 cap rather than the 60000 cap for the full-season game. Bobby Jenks, Jonathan Papelbon, and J.J. Putz belong on every team, and then while we almost took Chris Ray once again, we instead settled on the low-percentage upside of the surprisingly dominant Takashi Saito. Joe Mauer belongs on 100% of teams at catcher. Victor Martinez deserves similar consideration, however the lower cap makes him a difficult play. Instead we'll deploy Brian McCann with Josh Willingham in reserve. Despite the upside of several first baseman, we couldn't avoid taking our first basemen from the other contests: Travis Hafner, Ryan Howard, Jim Thome, and Lance Berkman. Second base features the least quality depth of any position. Chase Utley and Ian Kinsler look like good starters, and then while we considered Alfonso Soriano, the uncertainty regarding his second-half team resulted in us staying with Rickie Weeks since we see greater upside for him than Jose Lopez. David Wright and Garrett Atkins belong on every roster. Kevin Youkilis tempted us, but due to an unequestioned high lineup slot and correspondingly greater number of plate appearances, Ryan Zimmerman earns the bench spot. Jose Reyes, the best player in this contest to date, leads our shortstop options, with Hanley Ramirez a solid second starter. Felipe Lopez and Carlos Guillen rank behind those two, and since Guillen appears healthy, he edges the more expensive Lopez. The short list of necessary outfielders includes Grady Sizemore, Matt Holliday, Jermaine Dye, Brad Hawpe, and Curtis Granderson. Among the slightly more risky options, Jason Bay still possesses the most upside at this position and Austin Kearns remains a solid value given his everyday job. Rocco Baldelli and Nick Swisher then settle on our bench for opposite reasons: Baldelli is so good that he'll remain valuable even if he slumps for a while, and Swisher, currently mired in a BA hole, looks due for a breakout. With a single spot left on our roster and a need for a higher-salary, higher-upside player for when Santana or Carpenter face good opponents, we settled on ARod over Soriano and Albert Pujols courtesy of an impressive current trend and a history of impressive second halves. Mid-Season Fantasy Baseball
SP(6) Santana, Carpenter, Lackey, Bonderman, and Liriano all look like obvious plays, and then for cap reasons, Hernandez appears far more appropriate for this week than a more expensive option against harsher competition. To fit ARod on offense, he and Zimmerman will DH while Berkman and Howard hit the bench, the latter staying seated until we see if he echoes the standard slump experienced by most Home Run Derby winners. Matt Holliday also cedes his lineup spot to Kearns for similar cap reasons. Also, McCann sits in San Diego, Weeks and Carlos Guillen sit since they barely earned spots on our bench, and Baldelli and Swisher sit for now until we see if they trends reverse after the break.
Rotohelp.com(No standings available) C Joe Mauer 1710 C Josh Willingham 1000 1B Travis Hafner 2680 1B Ryan Howard 1950 2B Chase Utley 2270 2B Ian Kinsler 1000 3B David Wright 2480 3B Garrett Atkins 1330 SS Jose Reyes 2100 SS Hanley Ramirez 1000 OF Jason Bay 2550 OF Grady Sizemore 2200 OF Jermaine Dye 2070 OF Austin Kearns 1570 OF Brad Hawpe 1260 OF Curtis Granderson 1000 DH Alex Rodriguez 3790 DH Ryan Zimmerman 1020 SP Johan Santana 3310 SP Chris Carpenter 3140 SP John Lackey 2760 SP Jeremy Bonderman 2190 SP Felix Hernandez 1650 SP Francisco Liriano 1300 RP Bobby Jenks 224 RP J.J. Putz 1600 RP Jon Papelbon 1590 RP Takashi Saito 1500 Total Salary for Week 15b: 54810
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tim@rotohelp.com. |
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