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July
24th
2005
Your Daily Fantasy Rx
Rotohelp
Sunday Challenge Conversation, '05 Week 17
by Tim Polko

Today's Fantasy Rx

Schedule recommendations for teams with 7 games

Good for hitters / Good for pitchers
Chicago Cubs: 3 Home vs. SF; 4 Home vs. ARI.

Good for hitters / Bad for pitchers
Arizona: 3 Road at MIL; 4 Road at CHC.
Baltimore: 4 Home vs. TEX; 3 Home vs. CHW.
Colorado: 3 Home vs. NYM; 4 Home vs. PHI.
Houston: 3 Home vs. PHI; 4 Home vs. NYM.
Milwaukee: 3 Home vs. ARI; 4 Home vs. SF.
New York Mets: 3 Road at COL; 4 Road at HOU.
Philadelphia: 3 Road at HOU; 4 Road at COL.
Texas: 4 Road at BAL; 3 Road at TOR.

Bad for hitters / Good for pitchers
Cleveland: 3 Road at OAK; 4 Road at SEA.
Kansas City: 3 Home vs. CHW; 4 Road at TB.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 4 Home vs. CIN; 3 Home vs. STL.
Seattle: 3 Home vs. DET; 4 Home vs. CLE.

Bad for hitters / Bad for pitchers
Cincinnati: 4 Road at LAD; 3 Road at SD.
San Francisco: 3 Road at CHC; 4 Road at MIL.
Tampa Bay: 3 Home vs. BOS; 4 Home vs. KC.


Schedule recommendations for teams with 6 games

Good for hitters / Good for pitchers
Atlanta: 3 Home vs. WAS; 3 Home vs. PIT.
Boston: 3 Road at TB; 3 Home vs. MIN.
Florida: 3 Home vs. PIT; 3 Home vs. WAS.
Oakland: 3 Home vs. CLE; 3 Home vs. DET.

Good for hitters / Bad for pitchers
Chicago White Sox: 3 Road at KC; 3 Road at BAL.
Los Angeles Angels: 3 Road at TOR; 3 Road at NYY.
Minnesota: 3 Road at NYY; 3 Road at BOS.
New York Yankees: 3 Home vs. MIN; 3 Home vs. LAA.
Toronto: 3 Home vs. LAA; 3 Home vs. TEX.

Bad for hitters / Good for pitchers
Detroit: 3 Road at SEA; 3 Road at OAK.
Pittsburgh: 3 Road at FLO; 3 Road at ATL.
San Diego: 3 Home vs. STL; 3 Home vs. CIN.
St. Louis: 3 Road at SD; 3 Road at LAD.

Bad for hitters / Bad for pitchers
Washington: 3 Road at ATL; 3 Road at FLO.


Pitchers with 2 starts(to deploy everywhere you own them):
Joe Blanton: Tue:CLE(J.Westbrook); Sun:DET(N.Robertson)
Chris Capuano: Tue:ARI(M.Gosling); Sun:SF(N.Lowry)
Josh Fogg: Tue:@FLO(B.Moehler); Sun:@ATL(J.Smoltz)
Ryan Franklin: Mon:DET(N.Robertson); Sat:CLE(C.Sabathia)
Freddy Garcia: Mon:@KC(Z.Greinke); Sun:@BAL(Rod.Lopez)
Zach Greinke: Mon:CHW(F.Garcia); Sat:@TB()
Aaron Harang: Mon:@LAD(D.Lowe); Sat:@SD(B.Lawrence)
Livan Hernandez: Tue:@ATL(J.Smoltz); Sun:@FLO(B.Moehler)
Randy Johnson: Tue:MIN(B.Radke); Sun:LAA(P.Byrd)
Derek Lowe: Mon:CIN(A.Harang); Sat:STL(J.Suppan)
Greg Maddux: Tue:SF(N.Lowry); Sun:ARI(M.Gosling)
Eric Milton: Tue:@LAD(Od.Perez); Sun:@SD(W.Williams)
Brian Moehler: Tue:PIT(J.Fogg); Sun:WAS(L.Hernandez)
Mark Mulder: Tue:@SD(W.Williams); Sun:@LAD(Od.Perez)
Roy Oswalt: Tue:PHI(J.Lieber); Sun:NYM(K.Ishii)
Odalis Perez: Tue:CIN(E.Milton); Sun:STL(M.Mulder)
Andy Pettitte: Mon:PHI(C.Lidle); Sat:NYM(T.Glavine)
Joel Pineiro: Tue:DET(Jas.Johnson); Sun:CLE(J.Westbrook)
Brad Radke: Tue:@NYY(R.Johnson); Sun:@BOS(D.Wells)
Nate Robertson: Mon:@SEA(R.Franklin); Sun:@OAK(J.Blanton)
C.C. Sabathia: Mon:@OAK(B.Zito); Sat:@SEA(R.Franklin)
Jason Schmidt: Mon:@CHC(G.Rusch?); Sat:@MIL(B.Sheets)
Ben Sheets: Mon:ARI(B.Webb); Sat:SF(J.Schmidt)
John Smoltz: Tue:WAS(L.Hernandez); Sun:PIT(J.Fogg)
David Wells: Mon:@TB(D.Waechter); Sun:MIN(B.Radke)
Jake Westbrook: Tue:@OAK(J.Blanton); Sun:@SEA(J.Pineiro)
Woody Williams: Tue:STL(M.Mulder); Sun:CIN(E.Milton)
Barry Zito: Mon:CLE(C.Sabathia); Sat:DET(J.Bonderman)

Pitchers with 2 starts to deploy only in leagues that don't count qualitative stats:
Jose Acevedo: Mon:NYM(T.Glavine); Sat:PHI(C.Lidle)
Joaquin Benoit: Mon:@BAL(D.Cabrera); Sat:@TOR(D.Bush?)
Paul Byrd: Tue:@TOR(G.Chacin); Sun:@NYY(R.Johnson)
Daniel Cabrera: Mon:TEX(J.Benoit); Sat:CHC(J.Contreras)
Gustavo Chacin: Tue:LAA(P.Byrd); Sun:TEX(K.Rogers?)
Jeff Francis: Tue:NYM(K.Ishii); Sun:PHI(J.Lieber)
Tom Glavine: Mon:@COL(Jo.Acevedo); Sat:@HOU(A.Pettitte)
Mike Gosling: Tue:@MIL(C.Capuano); Sun:@CHC(G.Maddux)
Mark Hendrickson: Tue:BOS(M.Clement); Sun:KC(J.Lima)
Kaz Ishii: Tue:@COL(J.Francis); Sun:@HOU(R.Oswalt) Jon Lieber: Tue:@HOU(R.Oswalt); Sun:@COL(J.Francis)
Jose Lima: Tue:CHW(M.Buehrle); Sun:@TB(M.Hendrickson)
Rodrigo Lopez: Tue:TEX(K.Rogers); Sun:CHW(F.Garcia)
Noah Lowry: Tue:@CHC(G.Maddux); Sun:@MIL(C.Capuano)
Kenny Rogers???: Tue:@BAL(Rod.Lopez); Sun:@TOR(G.Chacin)???
Doug Waechter: Mon:BOS(D.Wells); Sat:KC(Z.Greinke)
Brandon Webb: Mon:@MIL(B.Sheets); Sat:@CHC(G.Rusch?)


Diamond Challenge

SP(6)
Randy Johnson: Tue:MIN(B.Radke); Sun:LAA(P.Byrd)
Johan Santana: Wed:@NYY(A.Leiter)
Jason Schmidt: Mon:@CHC(G.Rusch?); Sat:@MIL(B.Sheets)
Pedro Martinez: Thu:@HOU(B.Backe)
Roy Oswalt: Tue:PHI(J.Lieber); Sun:NYM(K.Ishii)
Roger Clemens: Wed:PHI(V.Padilla)
Mark Mulder: Tue:@SD(W.Williams); Sun:@LAD(Od.Perez)
Jake Peavy: Wed:STL(J.Marquis)
Dontrelle Willis: Thu:PIT(K.Wells)
A.J. Burnett: Sat:WAS(J.Patterson)???
Josh Beckett: Fri:WAS(T.Armas)
Miguel Batista: 3 Home vs. LAA; 3 Home vs. TEX.

The inexpensive choices of Peavy and Beckett will join our four doubles here.

Despite our team reeling down the standings, we see no obvious moves this week, so we'll leave Buck, Pujols, Iguchi, and Morneau benched while subbing Glaus for Crawford to hit the cap exactly.

Rotohelp.com(6th lg; 60th div; 1492rd overall)
Week 17: July 25-July 31

 
C	Victor Martinez		860
C	Joe Mauer		440 
1B	Derrek Lee		1440
1B	Mark Teixeira		1310 
2B	Brian Roberts		960
2B	Marcus Giles		950 
3B	Melvin Mora		1270
3B	David Wright		800
SS	Miguel Tejada		1800 
SS	Jose Reyes		850 
OF	Jim Edmonds		1250
OF	Adam Dunn		1110
OF	Miguel Cabrera		1110 
OF	Scott Podsednik		1090 
OF	Kevin Mench		580
OF	Jason Lane		400 
UT	Troy Glaus		830
UT	Chase Utley		480
 
SP	Randy Johnson		1980
SP	Jason Schmidt		1510 
SP	Roy Oswalt		1320 
SP	Mark Mulder		1060
SP	Jake Peavy		1030 
SP	Josh Beckett		820
RP	Brad Lidge		1280
RP	Trevor Hoffman		1270 
RP	Francisco Rodriguez	1250
RP	B.J. Ryan		950 

Total Salary for Week 17: 	30000


Diamond Challenge 2nd Season

The recent problems of Hermanson and Ryan lead us to add Huston Street, dropping Hawpe, who shouldn't return for a few more weeks and faces a playing time crunch once he fully recovers.

SP(6)
Randy Johnson: Tue:MIN(B.Radke); Sun:LAA(P.Byrd)
Johan Santana: Wed:@NYY(A.Leiter)
Pedro Martinez: Thu:@HOU(B.Backe)
Roy Oswalt: Tue:PHI(J.Lieber); Sun:NYM(K.Ishii)
Roger Clemens: Wed:PHI(V.Padilla)
Jake Peavy: Wed:STL(J.Marquis)
Chris Carpenter: Thu:@SD(T.Stauffer)
Dontrelle Willis: Thu:PIT(K.Wells)
A.J. Burnett: Sat:WAS(J.Patterson)???
Josh Beckett: Fri:WAS(T.Armas)
Brett Myers: Fri:@COL(S.Chacon)
Ryan Dempster: 3 Home vs. SF; 4 Home vs. ARI.


Deploying Randy, Oswalt, Clemens, Carpenter, Beckett, and Dempster looks good for the week. Street and KRod replace Ryan and Hermanson.

Offensively, Atkins subs for ARod, nearly bringing us to the cap, and then flipping David Wright and Craig Counsell for Morneau and Iguchi finishes this roster.

Rotohelp.com(5th lg; 28th div; 161st overall)
Week 17: July 25-July 31

 
C	Jorge Posada		930
C	Joe Mauer		440
1B	Derrek Lee		1440 
1B	Mark Teixeira		1310
2B	Brian Roberts		960 
2B	Chase Utley		480
3B	David Wright		800
3B	Morgan Ensberg		690
SS	Miguel Tejada		1800 
SS	Jose Reyes		850
OF	Bobby Abreu		1860 
OF	Miguel Cabrera		1110
OF	Scott Podsednik		1090 
OF	Pat Burrell		870
OF	Kevin Mench		580 
OF	Brady Clark		540 
UT	Craig Counsell		620 
UT	Garrett Atkins		400

SP	Randy Johnson		1980 
SP	Roy Oswalt		1320
SP	Roger Clemens		1280
SP	Jake Peavy		1030 
SP	Chris Carpenter	930 
SP	Josh Beckett		820 
SP	Ryan Dempster		520
RP	Trevor Hoffman		1270 
RP	Francisco Rodriguez	1250
RP	Chad Cordero		1000
RP	Huston Street		750

Total Salary for Week 17: 	27890


Internet Challenge

SP(6)
Randy Johnson: Tue:MIN(B.Radke)
Johan Santana: Wed:@NYY(A.Leiter)
Pedro Martinez: Thu:@HOU(B.Backe)
Roy Oswalt: Tue:PHI(J.Lieber)
Roger Clemens: Wed:PHI(V.Padilla)
Ben Sheets: Mon:ARI(B.Webb)
Mark Mulder: Tue:@SD(W.Williams)
Jake Peavy: Wed:STL(J.Marquis)
Dontrelle Willis: Thu:PIT(K.Wells)
A.J. Burnett: No start
Josh Beckett: No start
Miguel Batista: 3 Home vs. LAA

An unimpressive group of singles from our top starters results in deploying Oswalt, Clemens, Sheets, Mulder, Peavy, and Batista.

Holliday and Atkins replace Reed and Crawford while Buck, Hafner, and Morneau stay benched.

Rotohelp.com(6th lg; 163rd overall)
Week 17a: July 25-July 28

 
C	Victor Martinez		860 
C	Joe Mauer		440
1B	Albert Pujols		1930 
1B	Mark Teixeira		1310
2B	Brian Roberts		960
2B	Marcus Giles		950
3B	Melvin Mora		1270
3B	Troy Glaus		830
SS	Miguel Tejada		1800 
SS	Jose Reyes		850 
OF	Jim Edmonds		1250
OF	Miguel Cabrera		1110
OF	Adam Dunn		1110 
OF	Scott Podsednik		1090 
OF	Matt Holliday		630
OF	Kevin Mench		580 
UT	Tadahito Iguchi		750
UT	Garrett Atkins		400

SP	Roy Oswalt		1320 
SP	Roger Clemens		1280
SP	Ben Sheets		1200
SP	Mark Mulder		1060 
SP	Jake Peavy		1030 
SP	Miguel Batista		840  
RP	Brad Lidge		1280
RP	Trevor Hoffman		1270 
RP	Francisco Rodriguez	1250
RP	B.J. Ryan		950 

Total Salary for Week 17a: 	29600


Fantasy Baseball & Budget Baseball
(Same game = same rosters and moves for both teams)

SP(6)
Randy Johnson: Tue:MIN(B.Radke); Sun:LAA(P.Byrd)
Jason Schmidt: Mon:@CHC(G.Rusch?); Sat:@MIL(B.Sheets)
Pedro Martinez: Thu:@HOU(B.Backe)
Johan Santana: Wed:@NYY(A.Leiter)
Roger Clemens: Wed:PHI(V.Padilla)
Ben Sheets: Mon:ARI(B.Webb); Sat:SF(J.Schmidt)
Dontrelle Willis: Thu:PIT(K.Wells)
Jake Peavy: Wed:STL(J.Marquis)
A.J. Burnett: Sat:WAS(J.Patterson)???
Josh Beckett: Fri:WAS(T.Armas)

With Pedro and Santana facing tough road starts, Willis struggling, and Burnett very likely to start somewhere else this week, the remaining six starters look like our best bets.

Several offensive changes then appear necessary, with Buck, Helton, Holliday, Podsednik, and Hudson deploying for Martinez, Chavez, Glaus, Crawford, and Reed, who join Morneau, Kearns, and Drew on the bench.

Rotohelp.com(9th lg; 809th overall)
& Rotohelp.com(11th lg; 2073rd overall)
Week 17: July 25-July 31

 
C	John Buck		1030
C	Joe Mauer		1140 
1B	Albert Pujols		3700 
1B	Travis Hafner		1870
2B	Marcus Giles		1850
2B	Brian Roberts		1770 
UT	Hank Blalock		2240

3B	Morgan Ensberg		1530 
SS	Rafael Furcal		2430
SS	Khalil Greene		1410 
OF	Miguel Cabrera		2420 
OF	Carl Crawford		2120 
OF	Jason Bay		1680 
OF	Kevin Mench		1660 
OF	Matt Holliday		1470
OF	Jason Lane		1000 
UT	Todd Helton		3460
UT	Orlando Hudson		1540

SP	Randy Johnson		3330 
SP	Jason Schmidt		3180 
SP	Roger Clemens		3030 
SP	Ben Sheets		2940 
SP	Josh Beckett		1730 
SP	Jake Peavy		2090 
RP	Brad Lidge		2510
RP	Francisco Rodriguez	2360
RP	Trevor Hoffman		2350
RP	B.J. Ryan		2060

Total Salary for Week 17: 	59900


Mid-Season Fantasy Baseball

SP(6)
Randy Johnson: Tue:MIN(B.Radke); Sun:LAA(P.Byrd)
Pedro Martinez: Thu:@HOU(B.Backe)
Johan Santana: Wed:@NYY(A.Leiter)
Roger Clemens: Wed:PHI(V.Padilla)
Roy Oswalt: Tue:PHI(J.Lieber); Sun:NYM(K.Ishii)
Matt Clement: Tue:@TB(M.Hendrickson)
Dontrelle Willis: Thu:PIT(K.Wells)
Jake Peavy: Wed:STL(J.Marquis)
Chris Carpenter: Thu:@SD(T.Stauffer)
Dan Haren: Wed:CLE(S.Elarton)

Betting on probable wins leads us to take Clemens, Clement, Carpenter, and Haren to join our two doubles.

The Colorado homestand returns Atkins to the lineup for the hurting Hafner as Reyes and Cabrera also deploy for Crosby and Griffey.

Rotohelp.com(3rd lg; 369th overall)
Week 17: July 25-July 31

C	Joe Mauer		1140
C	Gregg Zaun		1090
1B	Derrek Lee		3010 
1B	Mark Teixeira		2820
2B	Brian Roberts		1770
2B	Chase Utley		1050
3B	Hank Blalock		2240
3B	Morgan Ensberg		1530 
SS	Jose Reyes		1590
SS	Jhonny Peralta		1050
OF	Hideki Matsui		2820 
OF	Miguel Cabrera		2420
OF	Carl Crawford		2120
OF	Jason Bay		1680 
OF	Grady Sizemore		1000
OF	Jason Lane		1000
DH	David Ortiz		2890
DH	Garrett Atkins		1000

SP	Randy Johnson		3330 
SP	Roger Clemens		3030
SP	Roy Oswalt		2970 
SP	Matt Clement		2610
SP	Jake Peavy		2090
SP	Chris Carpenter		2020 
SP	Dan Haren		1070
RP	Felix Rodriguez		2360
RP	Dustin Hermanson		2130
RP	Chad Cordero		2000
RP	Huston Street		1000

Total Salary for Week 17: 	54740


Today's Fantasy Rx: Deploying all your hitters on the Astros, Mets, Phillies, and Rockies should pay welcome dividends as all these teams spend the week playing in either Minute Maid or Coors. Conversely, limiting the exposure of your pitchers from these teams, with the obvious exception for the red hot Astros' aces, should prevent any qualitative disaster.


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