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March
1st
2005
Your Daily Fantasy Rx
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'05 AL Relief Pitcher Week: Day Two
by Tim Polko

Today's Fantasy Rx

Per popular request, I will provide all of the player information tables for these articles even if I still need to complete comments for some pitchers.


American League Relief Pitchers with PDV from $4 through $9

Quick Key to the tables:
W = Wins.  S = Saves.  ERA = Earned Run Average (ER*9/IP).
WHIP = (Walks + Hits)/IP aka Ratio.  K = Strikeouts.  BB = Bases on Balls aka Walks.
H = Hits.  IP = Innings Pitched.  P = Pitches.  B = Bats.
Age = Player's Age as of October 1, 2004.
4x4 = BA, HR, RBI, and SB in 12-team, $260 leagues with 23-man rosters.
5x5 = BA, HR, RBI, SB, and R in 12-team, $260 leagues with 23-man rosters.
RAR = Runs Above Replacement; Adjusted RAR = RAR modified to
consider whether a pitcher qualified as a starter in Scoresheet fantasy baseball .

Players are ranked in order from the highest draft value in a 4x4 league to the lowest. As the majority of fantasy leagues allow you to keep anyone traded to the other league, all players are listed in the league where they began the season.


17.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Damaso Marte663.421.2268345673.2
CH White Sox4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 29P:L    B:L9823.123.1

Consistently posting a ground-fly rate near his .78 mark last year finally resulted in an ERA spike fueled by a homer rate increase of more than 300%. Compiling an 8.3 K/9, his worst mark since debuting with Seattle in 1999, similarly represents an abrupt skill decrease. At least Marte continued to dominate left-handed batters, but with Dustin Hermanson added as the closer-in-waiting when Shingo Takatsu falters, Marte no longer appears worth more than an investment of a few bucks due to his now-limited fantasy upside.


18.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Justin Duchscherer703.271.2159328596.1
OAK Athletics4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 26P:R    B:R773232.1

While we expected Duchscherer to succeed in the majors as a starter, his emergence as one of the ten best AL relievers largely shocked us. Of course, a high homer rate, unimpressive 1.06 G-F, and a very unimpressive 5.5 K/9 leave him little chance to remain equally productive in 2005, especially since the Athletics added a few extremely effective new relievers like Kiko Calero and Juan Cruz. Only his lack of options may keep Duchscherer in the majors, and although he at least should earn a couple bucks, nothing here indicates he'll approach double-digit value as a middle reliever.


19.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Justin Speier373.911.2552256169
TOR Blue Jays4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 30P:R    B:R7617.417.4

Speier lost this job fairly quickly after a slow start yet his .68 G-F and overall pitching profile makes him well-suited to finish games. Saving six games in seven September opportunities similarly supports the supposition that Speier will remain successful in short relief. Spending into the teens to acquire this likely sleeper seems a decent idea since the Jays could create upwards of 40 save situations due their increasingly weak offense and mediocre pitching staff.


20.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Bob Wickman0134.251.4526103329.2
CLE Indians4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 35P:R    B:R756.36.3


21.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
David Riske753.721.4278416977.1
CLE Indians4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 27P:R    B:R6621.321.3


22.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Esteban Yan373.831.4369329287
DET Tigers4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 29P:R    B:R6622.922.9


23.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Jeremy Affeldt3134.951.6149329176.1
KC Royals4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 25P:L    B:L659.59.6


24.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Carlos Almanzar703.721.1744196672.2
TEX Rangers4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 30P:R    B:R5520.120.2


25.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Travis Harper603.891.1759236978.2
TB Devil Rays4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 28P:R    B:R5520.120.2


26.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Rafael Betancourt543.921.3476187166.2
CLE Indians4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 29P:R    B:R5516.616.8


27.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
J.C. Romero713.511.3369386174.1
MIN Twins4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 28P:L    B:S5522.522.5


28.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
J.J. Putz094.711.4347246663
SEA Mariners4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 27P:R    B:R449.79.7


29.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Matt Miller413.091.1755234255.1
CLE Indians4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 32P:R    B:R4419.619.6


30.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Ron Villone804.081.428664102117
SEA Mariners4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 34P:L    B:L4527.227.3


31.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Mike Timlin514.131.2356197576.1
BOS Red Sox4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 38P:R    B:R4417.317.3


32.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Lance Carter303.471.2436237780.1
TB Devil Rays4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 29P:R    B:R4324.624.6


33.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Jamie Walker313.201.2553126964.2
DET Tigers4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 33P:L    B:L442222


34.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Kevin Gregg514.211.3084288687.2
ANA Angels4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 26P:R    B:R4418.919


35.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Chris Hammond412.681.2934135653.2
OAK Athletics4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 38P:L    B:L4321.721.7


36.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Jesus Colome233.271.1140182841.1
TB Devil Rays4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 26P:R    B:R4313.713.7


37.WSERAWHIPKBBHIP
Ron Mahay302.551.3354296067
TEX Rangers4x45x5RARAdj. RAR
Age: 33P:L    B:L4428.228.2


'05 AL Relief Pitcher Week continues tomorrow with more American League relievers.


Today's Fantasy Rx: Any Anaheim reliever looks like a good investment, but Esteban Yan owns a far lower profile than KRod, Shields, Donnelly, and Gregg, yet Yan might emerge as the logical alternative if KRod suffers an injury. Of course, all five established right-handers also should earn at least a few bucks and therefore produce a respectable, safe profit for roto owners.


Click here to read the previous article.

Please e-mail your comments to tim@rotohelp.com.
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