|
||
December 19th 2004 |
Your Daily Fantasy Rx |
|||||||||
|
by Tim Polko I analyzed our performance in the second 2004 NL BP-Indy draft near the beginning of the season. Today I'm going to examine both our draft and in-season moves now that the year is over.
Here's the breakdown of how our drafted players performed in order of their selection, along with their VORP(Value Over Replacement Player):
Round VORP Player 1 9.3 Kevin Millwood 2 61.3 Carlos Zambrano 3 14.7 Adam Eaton 4 57.5 Jake Peavy 5 -12.8 Kurt Ainsworth 6 103.5 Albert Pujols 7 36.9 Jose Vidro 8 35.3 D'Angelo Jimenez 9 53.9 Mike Lowell 10 27.3 Edgar Renteria 11 34.7 Shawn Green 12 48.2 Brad Wilkerson 13A 27.9 Corey Patterson 13B 21.1 Jason LaRue 14 34.0 John Thomson 15 26.2 Brett Tomko 16 53.5 Lyle Overbay 17 8.7 Craig Counsell 18A -4.0 J.J. Davis 18B 31.0 Mike Barrett 19 24.8 Braden Looper 20 6.0 Ricky Ledee 21A Edwin Encarnacion 21B Franklin Gutierrez 22 -7.9 Kevin Correia 23 30.2 Juan Rivera 24 7.4 Amaury Telemaco 25 16.9 Jim Brower 26 8.2 Dan Wheeler 27 0.9 Aaron Heilman 28 45.1 J.T. Snow 29 25.3 Salomon Torres 30 14.5 Endy Chavez 31A 8.0 Felipe Lopez 31B -2.7 Chris Burke 32 -9.2 Abraham Nunez 33 -7.1 Corky Miller 34 -19.3 Edgar Gonzalez 35 Adam Wainwright While we erred in protecting Kurt Ainsworth as our crossover over Juan Uribe or Miguel Batista, we compensated for disappointing seasons from Ainsworth, Millwood, Eaton and Gonzalez with Thomson and Tomko. Selecting Overbay, Barrett, Rivera, and Snow similarly provided us with an excellent foundation from which to deal. The league operated somewhat differently in its second season thanks to an infusion of four new owners. Most of the teams that appeared unlikely to win playoff spots dumped by August, a somewhat surprising move given the lifetime keepers in this league. Of course, rule changes, adopted at this year's draft for the 2005 season, also affected strategies. We moved to a soft keeper list, with a five keeper minimum and rounds 6-13 treated as optional keepers. The league also voted to increase the number of crossovers available to 2. Our team started the year fairly strong, but the ineffectiveness of Ainsworth and Tomko left us looking for pitching depth headed into the first of three supplemental drafts. We added Kevin Gryboski, Tyler Yates, Justin Wayne, Maicer Izturis, and Javier Valentin, foolishly passing on Matt Holliday and Jose Hernandez. Immediately following the draft, we attempted to complete a trade with one team that didn't use their last two picks immediately. After extended negotiations that morphed into an expanded offer for picks later in the year, we verbally agreed to deal Ainsworth, Tomko, J.T. Snow, and Juan Rivera for Ben Sheets, Yadier Molina, and two picks in upcoming supplementrals. Yes, Tomko, Snow, and Rivera all exploded in the second half, but the chance to pick up Sheets was too tempting to ignore. Unfortunately for us, Baltimore demoted Ainsworth one day before the other team planned to report the trade. The team opted to ignore our agreement and not report the deal, costing us not only Sheets, but Carlos Beltran, selected in August with one of the two picks we nearly acquired. Of course, dealing four secondary players for Sheets and Beltran might have affected the balance of the league rather adversely, but at least we know now to let other teams report deals before we view any trade as completed. The sour taste left by these negotiations, not to mention Ainsworth's move from the minors to the disabled list, prompted us to begin dealing more aggressively. We swapped Kevin Correia and Tyler Yates for Jason Isringhausen and Yorvit Torrealba, addressing our two weakest areas by moving two young starters then in rotations. After a few rounds of talks, we also obtained Milton Bradley, who we targeted from the beginning of the season as a switch-hitter with good OBP and defense, along with Conor Jackson, for Lyle Overbay and Chris Burke. Three weeks later we moved Jackson for Cory Lidle to replace the injured Kevin Millwood in our rotation Our partner from the failed Sheets trade kindly ceded us a couple of supplemental picks for the June draft for our inconvenience. While not Sheets, the picks allowed us to add an intriguing mix of players: Matt Ginter, Ryan Church, Glendon Rusch, T.J. Tucker, Ruben Mateo, and Ben Hendrickson. Ginter, Rusch, and Tucker stabilized our pitching staff while Church and Hendrickson now look like serious assets. Teams began dumping in earnest after the All-Star break, highlighted by a deal of Clemens, Schilling, and Kolb for Josh Beckett, Vicente Padilla, Edwin Jackson, Scott Kazmir, and Jose Capellan. With multiple prospects and/or future draft picks fetching All-Stars for the other contenders, we heartily jumped into the trade market. The August supplemental draft allowed us to add Noah Lowry, Jayson Werth, Koyie Hill, and Willy Aybar. Deals We then moved Mike Lowell, Shawn Green, Franklin Gutierrez, and Macier Izturis for Bobby Abreu, David Bell, and four outstanding picks; we selected Josh Wilson, Carlos Quentin, Jon Rauch, and Justin Germano. One day later, we essentially set our team for the playoffs by moving the majority of our young pitching depth for two pending free agents. We traded Adam Eaton, Adam Wainwright, Aaron Heilman, Edgar Gonzalez, Justin Wayne, Koyie Hill, and Felipe Lopez for Carl Pavano, Adrian Beltre, Akinori Otsuka, and three more picks. Dave Williams, Chris Snyder, and Zach Duke joined our team with those selections. Selecting Williams over Dan Meyer looks terrible now, but any complaining about our moves the first week of August qualifies as unnecessary nitpicking. The short-term boost propelled us to the front of the pack even though wow we're stuck with Beltre, Pavano, and Renteria in the American League, along with possibly Millwood, but. With a lineup of Barrett, Pujols, Jimenez, Beltre, Renteria, Wilkerson, Bradley, and Abreu, a loaded bench featuring Snow, Bell, and Juan Rivera, and a rotation of Pavano, Zambrano, Peavy, Thomson, and Lowry, we unsurprisingly coasted into the playoffs. Of course, the downside of all our moves is that we now lack spots for the twenty players we want to keep, not to mention our increased cache of prospects. Yet we can't complain about heading into the draft with a core of Pujols, Abreu, Zambrano, Peavy, and two of Beltre, Renteria, and Pavano. With the increased crossover spot, we at least should obtain a decent replacement for one of our new American Leaguers, and we remain confident that our team should continue to contend despite the young talent gathered by the rebuilding teams.
Click
here to read the previous article.
Please e-mail your comments to
tim@rotohelp.com. |
||||||||
Rotohelp |
||||||||||||
All content ©2001-18 Rotohelp, Inc. All rights reserved. PO Box 72054 Roselle, IL 60172. Please send your comments, suggestions, and complaints to: admin@rotohelp.com. |
||||||||||||