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June 9th 2004 |
Your Daily Fantasy Rx |
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by Tim Polko
Anaheim: Dusty Bergman, 26, LH Reliever The Angels promoted Bergman to replace the injured Troy Percival, however he only should stay in the majors until either Percival or Donnelly return since the team appears quite comfortable without a left-handed reliever. Of course, after struggling in his previous AAA seasons, Bergman excelled this spring, finally translating his consistently solid strikeout and walk rates into success at the highest minor league level. He shouldn't emerge as more than quality roster filler this year, but thanks to the protection provided him by the rest of Anaheim's outstanding relief corps, feel free to target him if you need a short-term replacement on your pitching staff.
Rakers looks like the best reliever in the organization, and I can't fathom why Baltimore refuse to promote him. Not only does he rank with the most dominant pitchers in the upper minors, Rakers 1.9 BB/9 limits his downside. Only a 1.4 HR/9 worries me at all, but since he hasn't posted poor homer rate marks in the past, I don't expect this tater tendency to cause him problems in the majors. Attempt to acquire Rakers as soon he joins Baltimore since I suspect he at least will emerge as Jorge Julio's set-up man by year's end.
While he doesn't own perfect control and struggled in his 2002 debut with St. Louis, Duff deserves a shot in the majors due to his impressive dominance and all-around solid skill set. Yes, he shouldn't see too much time at the end of games thanks to the presence of relief studs like Keith Foulke, Mike Timlin, and Alan Embree, however Duff appears as prepared to contribute in the middle innings as anyone previously summoned from Pawtucket this season. Of course, you still should wait until he proves he can maintain low qualitative stats with Boston before adding Duff to your roster, but he should emerge as a useful fantasy option in the near future.
If the Sox neither acquire a new starter nor allow Felix Diaz, Jon Rauch, or Neal Cotts another shot as their #5 starter, Grilli appears next in line due to his respectable ERA and a current spot on the 40-man roster that gives him an edge over Josh Stewart. Of course, Grilli's weak control and homer problems make him a very risky choice, so Chicago hopefully first will give one of their better prospects a second chance. Grilli just doesn't appear ready to succeed in the majors, so ignore him indefinitely barring unlikely skill improvement after he eventually joins the Sox.
Yes, Elarton finally might fulfill his former promise in an environment more conducive to pitching than Houston or Colorado, but his base skills remain poor. Three good starts in the International League don't give me any confidence that he can succeed in the majors, and his lack of dominance especially worries me. Hopefully Cleveland will give him another couple months to see if his early effectiveness isn't a fluke, however if he joins the Indians in the near future, ignore Elarton since he owns only a negligible chance to contribute to fantasy teams this year given his disastrous performance in recent seasons.
Loux looked like the best bet to complete Detroit's rotation this spring, but an impressive array of solid starts from Gary Knotts and Nate Robertson still leave no room for Loux two months into the season. While I agree his 6.4 K/9 suggested limited upside, an all-around solid skill set makes him a good bet to succeed when next recalled. Anyone looking for a likely quality starter should target Loux when he rejoins to the Tigers.
If the Royals plan to rebuild, they need to promote Seanez immediately since he should net them a decent prospect if he even only echoes these skills for two months with Kansas City. Of course, after two questionable seasons in the majors, few organizations likely trust the veteran, but the Royals don't possess many acceptable alternatives. Still, you should wait until he appears established in Kansas City's bullpen before considering Seanez for your team.
Allowing Rick Helling to depart the organization doesn't look like a significant mistake considering how well Dave Gassner, Willie Eyre, and Guerrier continue to pitch at Rochester. Despite his persistent homer problem, Guerrier looks like the next logical choice to join the Twins' rotation, and I see no reason why he can't hold a starting spot for a few seasons. He simply doesn't walk enough batters to post a poor WHIP, so as long as he only allows a couple of solo shots a game, he quickly could emerge as an excellent fantasy option. Target Guerrier upon his promotion, although keeping him reserved until he demonstrates this skill level in Minnesota remains the safest course of action.
The Yankees likely will need to employ a starting prospect this summer if they continue to field a rotation full primarily of injured and ineffective starters. Halsey appears the logical choice after slamming to AAA only two seasons after New York selected him in the 8th round of the 2002 draft. He excelled at A+ Tampa(FSL) last year before struggling at AAA Trenton(EL) only due to a porous defense. Halsey's success at Columbus this season makes him an intriguing candidate either for promotion or trade, however since he possesses the skills to succeed for almost any team, target him once he reaches the majors.
Only an unimpressive strikeout rate makes Wood apparently unacceptable to the Athletics. He belongs in the majors after succeeding at Sacramento for the last season; somehow even his dominance continues to improve as he matures as a pitcher. Wood appears ready to succeed in any big league role; he only lacks the necessary opportunity to emerge as a viable fantasy option. Unfortunately, I don't see him finding many innings if he stays with Oakland, so wait until you see an organization actually express faith in his abilities before rostering Wood.
As any rebuilding of the Mariners should include a trade of the surprisingly effective Ron Villone, as well as lefty specialist Mike Myers, we should see Sherrill in Seattle later this summer. He obviously appears ready to emerge as a dominant reliever as I don't see anything resembling a problem in his stats. Only wait until Seattle's manager finds a regular role for Sherrill before strongly considering him to improve your qualitative foundation.
Although the Rays don't need another lefty given the impressive performances of Trever Miller and John Halama, the former Bonus Baby merits a long look at some point this year. Seay's skills strongly suggest he should succeed in the majors, and after Tampa outbid several teams to sign him eight seasons ago, I see no reason why they wouldn't want to see a return on that investment. Of course, he doesn't appear likely to help fantasy teams right now as a lefty specialist, so you probably should ignore Seay this season, but he at least should develop into decent roster filler by September.
Considering he hasn't pitched effectively in the majors since 2001 with Baltimore, Wasdin needs to take advantage of his next opportunity. Of course, his performance as a AAA starter leads teams to give him spot starts when they instead need to leave him in long relief. I believe Wasdin still could emerge as useful bullpen filler for a few years, but the high expectations created by an increasing number of productive seasons while starting in the minors probably will prevent him from securing the role he needs to succeed. Ignore Wasdin unless your league counts AAA stats since I don't envision him contributing to winning fantasy teams any time soon.
An unimpressive debut with Minnesota in 2002 let the Twins to waive him despite an impressive minor league career. The Jays grabbed him last spring, however hit and homer problems forced Frederick back to AA New Haven(EL). His reemergence this season places him in line for a promotion given the rate Toronto churns relievers, however despite my faith in Frederick's skills, pitching in the Jays's bullpen isn't conducive to producing the low qualitative stats middle relievers need to merit fantasy consideration. Wait until he either begins dominating or sneaks into a late-inning role before rostering Frederick in any league.
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