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June 7th 2003 |
Your Daily Fantasy Rx |
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by Tim Polko We modified these ratings slightly since posting our team-by-team LPR scores in January. By reworking the A-Z and a-z ratings, we wanted to be able to easily identify effective starters rather than looking for truly dominant performers, of which we only found a few pitchers in any of the previous few seasons.
1 - K/9 of 6.0+, BB/9 of 3.0-, H/9 of 9.0-, HR/9 of 1.0-,
QA score for relief outings: up to 5 total points, one for each statistical goal, to any reliever who retires at least one batter and fulfills any of the following skill qualifications: K>=IP, BB=0, H<=IP, HR=0, and G-F>=1.00. Any reliever who doesn't reach any of the required statistical goals or fails to retire a batter earns a 0 QA score. Note: Starters must pitch in five games before scoring DOM or DIS ratings; relievers must appear in no less than 10 games before earning DOM/DIS consideration. All pitchers are evaluated as relievers aside from those who both reached 5 starts in a given season and qualified for DOM or DIS ratings.
A - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2003 starts
X - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2003 starts
a - QA score of 4 or 5 in at least 50% of 2003 relief outings
x - QA score below 3 in no more than 20% of 2003 relief outings
Wagner moves to his rightful place at the head of the list since he remains the most consistent closer in the league over the last three seasons.
John Smoltz
Williams and Smoltz join Perez as the pitchers who've demonstrated the most consistently high level of skill over the last two years.<>
While Schilling slipped off this list, Kinney, Gagne, Koplove, and Spooneybarger all joined. If any of these pitchers are somehow unowned in your league, roster them immediately.
Williams and Smoltz moved upward, and half of these guys look very close to making similar ascents.
More intriguingly, only Brendan Donnelly, Shigetoshi Hasegawa, and John Smoltz have pitched better in relief than Colorado's Javier Lopez this season. In his 28 appearances, he's posted dominant QA scores 20 times and only suffered two disasters, one 2 each in April and May. His 20:4 K:BB in 23 IP with 11 H, 0 HR, and a 1.61 G-F will rank him at the top of next week's list if he pitches two more innings, he toasts both right-handers(.369 OOPS) and lefties(.367 OOPS), and he doesn't pitch significantly worse in Coors. Lopez has allowed only six baserunners in the last month, and he hasn't allowed a run, earned or unearned, since April 19th. While I don't see him as a particularly valuable roto pitcher due to his relatively limited innings and ever-present risk of Coors' disasters, he looks as solid as any reliever in the game right now. Feel free to roster him if you need a relatively low-risk pitcher for a few weeks, and if he holds his skills, you likely should leave him on your roster unless you possess obviously superior options.
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here to read the previous article.
Please e-mail your comments to
tim@rotohelp.com. |
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