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March 24th 2003 |
Your Daily Fantasy Rx |
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by Tim Polko Download the spreadsheet with our complete projected stats for 4x4 and 5x5 leagues here; this file also includes complete AL LPR values as discussed in last weekend's articles.
These Draft Values are intended only for AL-only 12 team leagues, using traditional 4x4 or 5x5 scoring, with $260 of cap space to draft 9 pitchers. We've also moved from a 65/35 hitting/pitching split to a 70/30 split based on the trends we observed last season, as well as data we've compiled this spring from a variety of sources. Based on last year's TQ Stats data, courtesy of Rototimes, we selected a 4.873 ERA and 1.445 WHIP for the baseline values necessary to calculate the Category Dollars in each category.
Top 3 AL Relievers: Keith Foulke, $32/29; Eddie Guardado, $24/23; Kazuhiro Sasaki $23/21.
Best all-around starting pitcher sleepers: Mark Mulder, $24/24; Jeff Weaver, $18/19; Sidney Ponson, $9/10; Joe Kennedy, $9/10; Esteban Loaiza, $8/9.
AL Relievers most likely to exceed 10 vultured Wins: Arthur Rhodes, $11/10; Francisco Rodriguez, $9/9; Ramiro Mendoza, $8/7. First tier of non-closing relievers with consistently excellent skills: Arthur Rhodes, $11/10; Buddy Groom, $3/2. Second tier of non-closing relievers with consistently excellent skills: Alan Embree, $7/7; Chad Bradford, $6/5; Ricardo Rincon, $6/5; Cliff Politte, $6/6; Steve Karsay, $4/3. Top 2003 AL Pitcher Sleeper: Jeff Weaver, $18/19.
Pitchers 4x4 5x5 Acevedo, Juan 5 4 Adkins, Jon -2 -3 Affeldt, Jeremy 1 2 Almonte, Edwin -2 -3 Almonte, Hector -1 -2 Anderson, Brian 1 1 Anderson, Jason -1 -2 Anderson, Matt 20 18 Appier, Kevin 5 6 Arnold, Jason -1 -2 Arroyo, Bronson -2 -3 Asencio, Miguel 0 1 Atchison, Scott -1 -2 Avery, Steve -2 -4 Baez, Danys 19 17 Baldwin, James -2 -3 Balfour, Grant -2 -3 Banks, Willie -2 -3 Bauer, Rick 1 1 Bell, Rob 1 1 Benoit, Joaquin 0 1 Bere, Jason -1 1 Bernero, Adam 4 5 Bierbrodt, Nick -6 -4 Bonderman, Jeremy -6 -4 Bootcheck, Chris -2 -3 Bowers, Ced -3 -4 Bowie, Micah -1 -2 Boyd, Jason -2 -3 Bradford, Chad 6 5 Brazelton, Dewon -1 -1 Buehrle, Mark 15 15 Bukvich, Ryan 1 0 Burba, Dave -1 -2 Burkett, John 1 2 Cabrera, Jose -2 -3 Callaway, Mickey 2 2 Carrasco, D.J. 0 0 Carter, Lance 5 4 Castillo, Frank -1 -2 Choate, Randy 1 0 Clemens, Roger 10 12 Cloude, Ken 0 -1 Colome, Jesus 11 10 Colon, Bartolo 15 15 Contreras, Jose 1 2 Cordero, Francisco 4 4 Cordova, Jorge -1 -1 Cornejo, Nate 0 2 Creek, Doug -2 -2 Cressend, Jack -2 -3 Daal, Omar 0 1 Davey, Tom -2 -3 Davis, Doug 0 0 Davis, Jason -7 -6 de la Rosa, Jorge -2 -3 DeHart, Rick -2 -3 Donnelly, Brendan 4 3 Douglass, Sean -2 -3 Drese, Ryan -2 -2 Driskill, Travis -1 -2 DuBose, Eric -2 -3 Eckenstahler, Eric -2 -3 Elder, Dave -2 -3 Embree, Alan 7 7 Escobar, Kelvim 19 18 Ferguson, Ian -2 -3 Fetters, Mike -1 -2 Fikac, Jeremy 3 2 Fiore, Tony 2 1 Fischer, Rich -2 -3 Ford, Ben -2 -3 Fossum, Casey 6 7 Foulke, Keith 32 29 Fox, Chad 8 7 Franklin, Ryan 8 9 Frederick, Kevin -2 -3 Fultz, Aaron -2 -2 Garcia, Freddy 13 15 Garcia, Gerardo -2 -3 Garcia, Mike -2 -3 Garcia, Reynaldo -1 -2 Garland, Jon 8 9 George, Chris -6 -5 German, Franklyn 8 8 Ginter, Matt -1 -2 Glover, Gary 3 2 Gobble, Jimmy -2 -3 Gordon, Tom 4 3 Grimsley, Jason 2 2 Groom, Buddy 3 2 Guardado, Eddie 24 22 Halama, John 1 1 Halladay, Roy 22 23 Hammond, Chris 3 2 Harang, Aaron 1 1 Harden, Rich -1 -2 Harper, Travis 1 1 Harville, Chad -2 -3 Hasegawa, Shigetoshi 5 4 Hawkins, LaTroy 5 5 Helling, Rick 6 7 Hendrickson, Mark 7 7 Hentgen, Pat 2 1 Hernandez, Adrian -2 -3 Hernandez, Runelvys 2 4 Herrera, Alex -2 -3 Hiljus, Erik -2 -3 Hill, Jeremy 2 1 Hitchcock, Sterling 0 0 Howry, Bob 2 2 Hudson, Tim 17 18 James, Delvin -1 -2 Johnson, Adam -3 -4 Johnson, Jason 4 6 Julio, Jorge 17 15 Karsay, Steve 4 3 Kaye, Justin -2 -3 Kennedy, Joe 9 10 Knotts, Gary -4 -3 Koch, Billy 22 20 Kolb, Danny -1 -2 Kozlowski, Ben -2 -3 Lackey, John 6 7 Larrison, Preston -2 -3 Ledezma, Wil 0 -1 Lee, Cliff -4 -4 Lewis, Colby 1 2 Lidle, Cory 12 12 Ligtenberg, Kerry 0 -1 Lilly, Ted 12 13 Linton, Doug -1 -1 Loaiza, Esteban 8 9 Lohse, Kyle 6 8 Looper, Aaron -1 -2 Lopez, Albie 2 2 Lopez, Aquilino 4 3 Lopez, Rodrigo 3 5 Loux, Shane -2 -3 Lowe, Derek 18 18 Lowe, Sean -2 -3 Lukasiewicz, Mark -2 -3 Lyon, Brandon -1 -2 MacDougal, Mike 14 13 Madritsch, Bobby -1 -2 Mahay, Ron -2 -3 Maroth, Mike 6 6 Marte, Damaso 6 6 Martinez, Pedro 27 29 Mateo, Julio 0 -1 May, Darrell 0 0 Mays, Joe 4 4 McClung, Seth -4 -4 Meche, Gil -5 -4 Mecir, Jim 0 0 Mendoza, Ramiro 8 7 Miadich, Bart -1 -2 Miller, Justin 0 0 Miller, Trever -2 -2 Mohler, Mike -2 -3 Moyer, Jamie 13 14 Mulder, Mark 24 24 Mulholland, Terry -1 -1 Mullen, Scott 0 -1 Munoz, Arnie -1 -3 Mussina, Mike 20 21 Myette, Aaron -2 -2 Nakamura, Michael -2 -3 Nelson, Jeff 4 3 Neu, Mike 0 -1 Nitkowski, C.J. -2 -3 Obermueller, Wes -2 -4 Ortiz, Ramon 13 14 Osting, Jimmy -2 -3 Osuna, Antonio 3 3 Paniagua, Jose -1 -2 Park, Chan Ho 6 8 Paronto, Chad -2 -3 Parque, Jim -8 -7 Parris, Steve -3 -2 Patterson, Danny 0 -1 Percival, Troy 22 20 Person, Robert 0 0 Pettitte, Andy 11 12 Phelps, Travis -1 -2 Phillips, Jason -2 -3 Pineiro, Joel 10 11 Politte, Cliff 6 6 Ponson, Sidney 9 10 Porzio, Mike -2 -3 Powell, Jay -1 -2 Putz, J.J. -1 -2 Radke, Brad 10 10 Rauch, Jon -1 -2 Reed, Rick 5 6 Reyes, Al -2 -3 Rhodes, Arthur 11 10 Riggan, Jerrod -2 -3 Rincon, Juan -2 -3 Rincon, Ricardo 6 5 Riske, David 0 0 Rivera, Mariano 20 18 Roberts, Willis 1 1 Robertson, Nate -2 -3 Rodney, Fernando 2 1 Rodriguez, Francisco 9 9 Rodriguez, Ricardo -6 -5 Rodriguez, Rich -1 -2 Rogers, Kenny 3 4 Romero, J.C. 4 4 Roney, Matt -3 -3 Rupe, Ryan 0 -1 Ryan, B.J. 1 1 Sabathia, C.C. 9 9 Sadler, Carl -1 -2 Sanders, David -2 -3 Santana, Johan 6 6 Santiago, Jose -2 -2 Sasaki, Kazuhiro 23 21 Schoeneweis, Scott 3 3 Seanez, Rudy 0 -1 Seay, Bobby -1 -1 Sedlacek, Shawn -1 -1 Sele, Aaron 0 0 Shibilo, Andy -1 -3 Shields, Scot 4 3 Shiell, Jason -2 -3 Shouse, Brian -2 -4 Simpson, Allan -2 -3 Smith, Mike -1 -2 Smith, Roy -1 -2 Snyder, Kyle -5 -5 Soriano, Rafael 5 5 Sosa, Jorge 1 0 Sparks, Steve -2 -2 Standridge, Jason -2 -2 Stephens, John 1 1 Stewart, Josh -2 -2 Sturtze, Tanyon -1 0 Tallet, Brian -2 -2 Tam, Jeff 1 0 Taylor, Aaron -1 -2 Thomas, Brad -2 -3 Thomson, John 6 7 Thurman, Corey -2 -3 Thurman, Mike -2 -3 Timlin, Mike 4 3 Traber, Billy -1 -1 Turnbow, Derrick -2 -3 Urbina, Ugueth 21 19 Valdes, Ismael 8 8 Valentine, Joe -2 -3 Van Hekken, Andy 1 1 Van Poppel, Todd 0 0 Voyles, Brad -2 -3 Wakefield, Tim 13 14 Walker, Jamie 2 2 Walker, Pete 2 2 Washburn, Jarrod 10 11 Weaver, Jeff 18 19 Weber, Ben 3 2 Wells, David 7 7 Westbrook, Jake -1 -1 White, Matt 0 -2 White, Rick 3 2 Wiggins, Scott -2 -3 Wilson, Kris -3 -3 Wohlers, Mark 0 -1 Woodard, Steve -2 -3 Wright, Danny 8 10 Wunsch, Kelly 2 1 Yan, Esteban 1 1 Yarnall, Ed -1 -2 Zambrano, Victor 4 6 Zimmerman, Jeff 0 -1 Zito, Barry 18 19
Today's Fantasy Rx: Unlike 2002, when young lefties Ted Lilly, Casey Fossum, and J.C. Romero seemed poised to emerge into more significant roles, I don't see quite the same upside in young AL middle relievers this Spring Training. Billy Traber and Johan Santana are your best bets here, although Santana may be overpriced since he's received significant publicity as a sleeper. Traber is the guy to watch since he's extremely likely to break camp in the Indians' bullpen despite possessing a minor league track record that indicates he's the most prepared Cleveland prospect for a starting role. He's worth a gamble of a couple bucks, particularly in keeper leagues where you could see a double-digit profit by 2005.
Click
here to read the previous article.
Please e-mail your comments to
tim@rotohelp.com. |
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