Today's Fantasy Rx

On the Sixth Day of Outfielders, my true love gave to me:
AL West "Prospects",
AL Central "Prospects";
AL East "Prospects",
American Leaguers without PDV,
Single-digit AL PDV,
and American Leaguers with Double-digit PDV.

Minor League Free Agents and AAA/AA Outfielders in the AL West

Anaheim Angels
Minor League Free Agents:
Elpidio Guzman, 23, B:L, T:L.
112/454 for .247/.309/.346 with 4 HR, 41 RBI, 57 R, 21/32 SB%,
and 40:91 BB:K at AA Arkansas(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2006.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2007.

Dan McKinley , 26, B:L, T:R.
65/294 for .221/.255/.323 with 3 HR, 32 RBI, 32 R, 5/9 SB%,
and 14:56 BB:K between AA Harrisburg(EL), AAA Ottawa(IL),
and AA Arkansas(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: A+ backup.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AA backup by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: None.

Prospects:
Jeff Guiel, 28, B:L, T:R.
84/330 for .255/.355/.464 with 13 HR, 49 RBI, 53 R, 7/10 SB%,
and 47:74 BB:K between AA Arkansas(TL) and AAA Salt Lake(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AAAA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major League starter by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: Roster filler.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $10 by 2005.

Nathan Haynes, 23, B:L, T:L.
94/333 for .282/.317/.378 with 2 HR, 14 RBI, 43 R, 16/28 SB%,
and 16:61 BB:K between A+ Rancho Cucamonga(Cal) and AAA Salt Lake(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AAA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major League backup by 2006.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2006.

Jason Huisman, 26, B:R, T:R.
64/263 for .243/.301/.365 with 5 HR, 36 RBI, 41 R, 11/17 SB%,
and 13:33 BB:K at AA Arkansas(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: A+/AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAA backup by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: None.

Kenny James, 25, B:S, T:R.
110/414 for .266/.318/.333 with 3 HR, 34 RBI, 55 R, 42/55 SB%,
and 27:65 BB:K between AA Tennessee(SL) and AA Arkansas(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2006.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2007.

Gary C. Johnson, 26, B:L, T:L.
38/143 for .266/.341/.476 with 5 HR, 35 RBI, 30 R, 1/2 SB%,
and 15:49 BB:K at AAA Salt Lake(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AAA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2005.

Robb Quinlan, 25, B:R, T:R.
176/528 for .333/.376/.555 with 20 HR, 112 RBI, 95 R, 8/10 SB%,
and 41:93 BB:K at AAA Salt Lake(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: Major League starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major League starter in 2003.
2003 Fantasy Potential: $10.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $20 by 2005.

Derick Urquhart, 26, B:L, T:L.
60/294 for .204/.283/.296 with 3 HR, 23 RBI, 31 R, 6/12 SB%,
and 32:42 BB:K between A+ Rancho Cucamonga(Cal), AA Arkansas(TL),
and AAA Salt Lake(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2006.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2007.

Oakland Athletics
Minor League Free Agents:
Juan Dilone, 30, B:S, T:R.
No 2002 minor league stats.
Appropriate 2003 Role: Retired.
Long-term Upside & ETA: None.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: None.

Jacques Landry, 29, B:R, T:R.
76/290 for .262/.374/.469 with 14 HR, 62 RBI, 49 R, 11/16 SB%,
and 53:99 BB:K between AA Midland(TL) and AAA Sacramento(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AAA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2005.

F.P. Santangelo, 34, B:S, T:R.
16/101 for .158/.310/.228 with 1 HR, 5 RBI, 11 R, 3/6 SB%,
and 18:23 BB:K between AAA Columbus(IL) and AAA Sacramento(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: Retired.
Long-term Upside & ETA: None.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: None.

Brian Sellier, 24, B:L, T:R.
125/417 for .300/.402/.427 with 5 HR, 58 RBI, 57 R, 16/32 SB%,
and 73:82 BB:K at A+ Modesto(Cal).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA starter by 2005.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2006.

Prospects:
Kirk Asche, 25, B:R, T:R.
91/376 for .242/.314/.426 with 12 HR, 56 RBI, 50 R, 9/15 SB%,
and 40:132 BB:K at AA Midland(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAA backup by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: None.

Matt Bowser, 23, B:L, T:L.
84/368 for .228/.316/.334 with 6 HR, 43 RBI, 46 R, 1/2 SB%,
and 44:68 BB:K between A+ Modesto(Cal) and AA Midland(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: A+/AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA starter by 2006.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2007.

John-Ford Griffin, 22, B:L, T:L.
91/329 for .277/.353/.413 with 8 HR, 41 RBI, 49 R, 1/2 SB%,
and 37:51 BB:K between A+ Tampa(FSL), AA Norwich(EL),
and AA Midland(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: A+/AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major League starter by 2006.
2003 Fantasy Potential: Low-round draft pick.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $15 by 2008.

Daylan Holt, 23, B:R, T:R.
146/510 for .286/.344/.478 with 20 HR, 88 RBI, 66 R, 4/13 SB%,
and 44:125 BB:K between A+ Visalia(Cal) and AA Midland(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major League starter by 2006.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $15 by 2008.

Rusty Keith, 25, B:R, T:R.
95/358 for .265/.320/.318 with 1 HR, 22 RBI, 52 R, 7/11 SB%,
and 26:44 BB:K at AA Midland(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAA backup by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: None.

Mike Lockwood, 25, B:L, T:L.
121/501 for .242/.332/.337 with 3 HR, 49 RBI, 68 R, 5/11 SB%,
and 60:66 BB:K at AA Midland(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2006.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2007.

Gary Thomas, 23, B:R, T:R.
111/437 for .254/.329/.357 with 5 HR, 51 RBI, 74 R, 31/43 SB%,
and 45:79 BB:K between A+ Modesto(Cal) and AAA Sacramento(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA backup.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2006.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2006.

Michael Warner, 31, B:L, T:L.
18/103 for .175/.277/.311 with 3 HR, 12 RBI, 10 R, 5/8 SB%,
and 15:28 BB:K at AAA Sacramento(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA/AAA backup.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: Roster filler by 2005.

Seattle Mariners
Minor League Free Agents:
Scott Krause , 29, B:R, T:R.
31/140 for .221/280/.357 with 4 HR, 13 RBI, 11 R, 3/4 SB%,
and 9:27 BB:K between AA San Antonio(TL) and AAA Tacoma(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA/AAA backup.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: Roster filler by 2004.

Prospects:
Greg Connors, 28, B:R, T:R.
90/365 for .247/.305/.419 with 11 HR, 59 RBI, 42 R, 3/6 SB%,
and 31:74 BB:K between AA San Antonio(TL) and AAA Tacoma(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2005.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: Roster filler by 2006.

Kenny Kelly, 23, B:R, T:R.
97/391 fir .248/.296/.417 with 11 HR, 53 RBI, 51 R, 11/14 SB%,
and 26:93 BB:K at AAA Tacoma(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: A+/AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major League starter by 2007.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $15 by 2009.

Adrian Myers, 27, B:R, T:R.
123/449 for .274/.321/.401 with 4 HR, 49 RBI, 61 R, 16/25 SB%,
and 31:75 BB:K at AA San Antonio(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2006.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: Roster filler by 2007.

Jamal Strong, 24, B:R, T:R.
140/503 for .278/.366/.336 with 1 HR, 31 RBI, 63 R, 46/62 SB%,
and 62:87 BB:K at AA San Antonio(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AAA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major League starter by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: Mid-round draft pick.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $25 by 2006.

Texas Rangers
Minor League Free Agents:
Calvin Murray is listed with National League outfielders without PDV.

Eric Cole, 26, B:R, T:R.
94/397 for .237/.288/.353 with 6 HR, 41 RBI, 38 R, 3/6 SB%,
and 27:95 BB:K between AA Tulsa(TL) and AAA Oklahoma(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: A+/AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2006.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: Roster filler by 2007.

Scott Pose, 35, B:L, T:R.
32/158 for .203/.311/.247 with 0 HR, 14 RBI, 16 R, 5/10 SB%,
and 24:12 BB:K between AAA Las Vegas(PCL) and AAA Oklahoma(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AAAA backup.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major League backup by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: Roster filler.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2005.

Roberto Vaz, 27, B:L, T:L.
22/90 for .244/.337/.411 with 2 HR, 9 RBI, 11 R, 0/1 SB%,
and 11:15 BB:K between R Rangers(GCL), A+ Charlotte(FSL),
and AA Tulsa(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2005.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2006.

Prospects:
Brett Cadiente, 25, B:L, T:L.
75/319 for .235/.316/.335 with 2 HR, 24 RBI, 42 R, 13/18 SB%,
and 38:76 BB:K between AA Tulsa(TL) and AAA Oklahoma(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: A+ backup.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAA backup by 2005.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: None.

Douglas Garcia, 23, B:L, T:L.
98/342 for .287/.322/.418 with 6 HR, 51 RBI, 35 R, 4/5 SB%,
and 13:66 BB:K between A+ Charlotte(FSL), AA Tulsa(TL),
and AAA Oklahoma(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: A+/AA backup.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAA backup by 2005.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: None.

Dave Meliah, 25, B:L, T:R.
82/328 for .250/.297/.402 with 9 HR, 45 RBI, 45 R, 3/7 SB%,
and 21:48 BB:K between AA Tulsa(TL) and AAA Oklahoma(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2006.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: Roster filler by 2007.

Paul Ottavinia, 29, B:L, T:L.
136/522 for .261/.324/.377 with 8 8HR, 60 RBI, 76 R, 15/22 SB%,
and 52:58 BB:K at AA Tulsa(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AA/AAA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAAA backup by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: Roster filler by 2005.

Santiago Perez, 26, B:S, T:R.
17/51 for .333/.417/.451 with 1 HR, 9 RBI, 6 R, 3/5 SB%,
and 7:12 BB:K at AAA Oklahoma(PCL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: AAAA backup.
Long-term Upside & ETA: Major League backup by 2004.
2003 Fantasy Potential: Roster filler.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: $5 by 2005.

Juan Silvestre, 24, B:R, T:R.
14/100 for .140/.218/.260 with 3 HR, 12 RBI, 7 R, 1/1 SB%,
and 10:31 BB:K between A+ Charlotte(FSL) and AA Tulsa(TL).
Appropriate 2003 Role: A+/AA starter.
Long-term Upside & ETA: AAA backup by 2005.
2003 Fantasy Potential: None.
Long-term Fantasy Upside & ETA: None.

Today's Fantasy Rx: I usually like to see a minor league prospect spend his first half-season in short-season ball before spending a full year at each of A-ball, A+, AA, and AAA; however quality college players can move faster. An advanced college player should be able to advance to AA by his third season, instead of the four or more years normally required from a high schooler. The younger player may harbor more upside due to his age, but unless he develops faster than normally expected, a high schooler often will reach AAA only about a year younger than players from his HS class who attended college.