July 10th 2002 |
Your Daily Fantasy Rx |
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by Tim Polko Selecting our starting pitching first as always, our main tool of analysis is the number of dominant starts for a pitcher. We generally want to see a relatively solid offense, and we want pitchers with barely any disasters this year. In the NL, Schilling has 18 DOM starts, Randy 17, Odalis Perez 14, and A.J. Burnett 13; we'll take all four, and if Burnett, breaks down, we'll simply use one of our 8 buys to replace him. Roy Oswalt, Kevin Millwood, and Brian Lawrence each have 12 DOM starts, but we don't quite trust Millwood or Lawrence for wins due to their teams' generally questionable offenses. As we have a lot of faith in Houston, we'll add Oswalt. Eric Gagne is the only reliever we're taking of those listed as starters. He's necessary since he's earned the third most points among pitchers after only Schilling and Randy. In the AL, Roy Halladay surprisingly leads the league with 16 DOM starts, followed by Pedro at 14, Zito at 13, and Freddy Garcia at 12, rounding out our 10-man starting staff. Since our only focus in this league is on wins, strikeouts, and innings, LPR qualification isn't necessary. However Randy and Pedro both have perfect scores. Halladay, Odalis, and Burnett have a 1 or better LIMA rating. Zito and Schilling have all six PQS points and are only a little homer-happy, and all nine starters obviously own ax raings. Finally, Garcia has the same homer problems as some of the others, and Oswalt's allowed only slightly too many hits, neither of which cause any problem in this points' league.
SP(6) Thanks to the nice home/road split among our starters, we can set our rotation for the week fairly easily. Oswalt, Halladay, Gagne, and Perez are nicely situated, and there's little reason not to use Garcia and Zito against two of the weakest offenses in the game. For relievers, Smoltz is the top in the game and reasonably priced, and we're comfortable with Kim, Guardado, and Mike Williams, all good bargains who we expect to maintain their current pace. At catcher, we'll stay with the same group from full-season ball: Lo Duca, who should stay angry over his All-Star snub; Pierzynski, who's a great bargain; and we'll keep Toby Hall here as a backup with potential for a larger role. For first base, Konerko and Derrek Lee are obvious picks due to their cost-efficiency. We'll also take Steve Cox as one of the best cheap players on offense, and we'll use Helton when he's at home. Soriano's mandatory at second base, we really like Spivey, and we think Castillo will be more consistent this half than Jose Vidro. Tony Batista's been a nice bargain, but we don't trust him maintaining his power in the second half. Mike Lowell and Eric Chavez are the top two performers here, and Eric Hinske looks the most likely player of the cheaper options to continue his solid first half. Nomar's earned more for the money than ARod, but we'll take both of them; Juan Uribe's not even great at home this year, so we'll hope David Eckstein can remain more consistently effective. For our outfield, the only expensive player we're taking is Barry Bonds, the top position player for points in the game thus far. Most of the truly great bargains are here, and Berkman, Pujols, Ichiro, Floyd, Burrell, Hunter, Dunn, and Jeremy Giambi are players we're quite comfortable deploying in most weeks. We'll also take Larry Walker, who while a nice bargain on the road, has been absolutely dominant at home in 2002. We considered a few other players at most positions, but either we were concerned about their skill consistency or we had questions about the overall state of their teams' offense. For this week, we'll bench our four Marlins since they only play three games this week, and our two Rockies on the road. Toby Hall and David Eckstein also sit since we prefer Lo Duca/Pierzynski and ARod/Nomar for now.
C Paul Lo Duca 1640 C A.J. Pierzynski 1000 1B Paul Konerko 2410 1B Steve Cox 1160 2B Alfonso Soriano 1800 2B Junior Spivey 1500 3B Eric Chavez 2270 3B Eric Hinske 1500 SS Alex Rodriguez 3430 SS Nomar Garciaparra 2160 OF Lance Berkman 2540 OF Albert Pujols 2500 OF Ichiro Suzuki 2390 OF Pat Burrell 2050 OF Torii Hunter 1710 OF Adam Dunn 1610 DH Barry Bonds 3360 DH Jeremy Giambi 1300
SP Freddy Garcia 2510 SP Barry Zito 2380 SP Roy Oswalt 1750 SP Roy Halladay 1230 SP Eric Gagne 1230 SP Odalis Perez 1070 RP John Smoltz 2610 RP Byung-Hyun Kim 2230 RP Mike Williams 1790 RP Eddie Guardado 1690
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