On the Third Day of Outfielders, my true love gave to me:
NL without PDV,
Single-Digit NL PDV,
and National Leaguers with Double-Digit PDV.

National League Outfielders without Positive Draft Value

Quick Key to the tables:
AB = At-bats.  H = Hits.  BA = Batting Average.  HR= Home Runs.
RBI = Runs Batted In.  SB = Stolen Bases.  R = Runs.  B = Bats.  T = Throws.
Position(s) = Positions listed with 20 or more 2001 appearances.
4x4 = BA, HR, RBI, and SB in 12-team, $260 leagues with 23-man rosters.
5x5 = BA, HR, RBI, SB, and R in 12-team, $260 leagues with 23-man rosters.
DV = Draft Value.  DTCD = Draft Total Category Dollars.
AV = Actual Value.  ATCD = Actual Total Category Dollars.
LABR/Tout = 2001 Expert League prices; LABR for 4x4. Tout Wars for 5x5.

A brief review of what our dollar values mean:
Draft Value is how much a player should have gone for on draft day.
DTCD is the highest acceptable draft day price without a value loss.
Actual Value is how much a player earned this year.
ATCD is the highest price at which you could have owned a player without a value loss in leagues with an in-season salary cap.

Players are ranked in order from the highest draft value in a 4x4 league to the lowest.

76.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Emil Brown		137	26	.190	3	13	12	21	OF-67
PIT / SD		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	0		1		1		1		1
2001 Age: 26	5x5:	0		2		0		1		Res

Brown's development was stunted as a Rule 5 pick back in 1997. He hasn't recovered from the lack of playing time since that point, and now he's stuck bouncing around since he's out of options. Since he doesn't have the plate discipline necessary to use his speed, he'll be stuck around $0, with his SB upside barely making up for the BA torture.

77.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Bruce Aven		24	8	.333	1	2	0	3	OF-9
LA Dodgers		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	0		1		0		1		1
2001 Age: 29	5x5:	-1		1		0		1

Aven could be an acceptable 5th outfielder on some teams but doesn't have enough upside for a larger role. His plate discipline and walk rates are only barely acceptable, and his minor league power numbers also aren't overly impressive. He's an acceptable injury replacement, although I wouldn't want him on my roster in a larger role.

78.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Angel Echevarria		133	34	.256	5	13	0	12	OF-24
MIL Brewers		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	0		1		0		1
2001 Age: 30	5x5:	0		1		0		1

Echevarria's bat is solid enough to warrant a larger role. Unfortunately, the Brewers are quite secure at his primary positions of first, left, and right field. Even if Burnitz is dealt, Hammonds will be given the right field job and someone else will be worked in at center. Echevarria has good power upside, but without the promise of a couple hundred at-bats, his barely adequate plate discipline leads to probable BA trouble. Only consider him at the end of the draft if the Brewers are having spring training injury problems, and you might be pleasantly rewarded with a few dollars profit.

79.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Terry Jones		77	20	.260	0	2	3	8	OF-25
MON Expos		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:S    T:R	4x4:	0		1		0		1
2001 Age: 30	5x5:	-1		1		0		1

He's fun to pick up when he receives the inevitable midseason promotion, because he's SB gold even in limited playing time. You're almost guaranteed to see a couple steals if you employ him for two or more weeks, and while he shouldn't receive more playing time with his questionable plate discipline and OBP, his speed would make him a worthy acquisition if he wound up briefly starting. There are better guys on whom to gamble an endgame buck, but if he breaks camp with a team, strongly consider using a late Ultra grab on him.

80.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Gary Matthews, Jr.		405	92	.227	14	44	8	63	OF-153
CHC / PIT		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:S    T:R	4x4:	0		1		0		1
2001 Age: 26	5x5:	2		3		2		3

Matthews is nothing special, but the Cubs lost him on waivers at a time when they desperately needed a right-handed centerfielder with good defense. He fits that role wonderfully, even if he is overmatched as a full-time starter. Some club, perhaps the Pirates, needs to use him as a fifth outfielder, defensive replacement, and platoon partner for a lefty starter with a platoon split, and he could produce a few bucks of positive value. His plate discipline appears acceptable, and he should wind up at least as an average AAAA player if his defense ever slips.

81.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Marquis Grissom		448	99	.221	21	60	7	56	OF-124
LA Dodgers		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	0		1		0		1		1
2001 Age: 34	5x5:	2		3		1		2		2

Both his SB totals and SB% have been falling for a couple years, and his overall offensive numbers have plummeted way below replacement value. Grissom still has some pop in his bat, but he doesn't make enough contact to deserve the opportunity to show off his marginal power. He's basically washed up at 35, although with only Tom Goodwin as CF competition, he could grab another 300 AB. I'd let Goodwin play due to his superior defense and speed, but there's really no good choice here.

82.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Alex Sanchez		68	14	.206	0	4	6	7	OF-20
MIL Brewers		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:L	4x4:	0		1		0		1
2001 Age: 24	5x5:	-1		1		0		1

Yesterday, we discussed guys like Hunter and Robinson, and today we get Jones and Alex Sanchez. Sanchez has prodigious speed gifts that could be enhanced by any pitcher knowledge that he might gain. His plate discipline is fairly poor, so he won't receive a long look at the major league level unless he starts walking more. Davey Lopes could personally develop this guy into a quality centerfielder, but he didn't seem to show much interest last season and will likely instead return Hammonds to center in 2002. Sanchez has $20 upside with full-time play. He stole 92 bases in 1997; of course, he was caught 40 times, too. Definitely consider an Ultra pick or $1 bid if he makes the Brewers, but be cautious unless you hear good reports about him from Lopes in Spring Training.

83.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Cliff Brumbaugh		36	10	.278	1	4	0	5	OF-12
COL Rockies		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	0		1		0		0
2001 Age: 27	5x5:	-1		1		-1		1

Brumbaugh continue to post extremely solid minor league seasons, keeping his OBP around .400 and SLG over .470 in most of his time in the upper minors. A total of 46 major league at-bats is far too few to make an adequate judgment, and Brumbaugh really deserves 500 at-bats in the majors to show that his extremely solid AA and AAA numbers aren't a mirage. If he could somehow win the left field job in Colorado, he'd earn an easy $20, and he'd never go for that much in the draft with his limited major league exposure. Strongly consider FAABing this guy when he gets a callup, and if he finds regular playing time, you shouldn't be disappointed.

84.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Brooks Kieschnick		42	10	.238	3	9	0	5	OF-12
COL Rockies		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:R	4x4:	0		1		0		0
2001 Age: 29	5x5:	-1		1		-1		0

His plate discipline has never lived up to the hype that surrounds him as a former first round pick of the Cubs. Kieschnick has enough power to be useful in a small role, but he doesn't have nearly as much potential as someone like Brumbaugh, who while only two years younger, has a significantly superior offensive profile. There's just too much BA downside to risk a pick up on Brooks, so leave him for the other owners who remember his prospect days a little too fondly.

85.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Ryan Thompson		31	9	.290	0	2	0	6	OF-17
FLO Marlins		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	0		0		0		0
2001 Age: 33	5x5:	-1		1		-1		0

Even with brief power displays at AAA, nothing in Thompson's history indicates that he deserves a regular major league job. His plate discipline has been horrendous in the majors, he has no speed, and he's never shown more than merely adequate power. When he receives his probable 2002 callup, don't bother adding him to your roster even if he appears to be starting for a short while. He's more likely to hurt you than help your team.

86.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Timo Perez		239	59	.247	5	22	1	26	OF-76
NY Mets		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:L	4x4:	0		0		0		0		5
2001 Age: 24	5x5:	0		1		0		1		4

Timo's minor league numbers indicate enough OBP and SB potential to deserve a potential leadoff slot. With Cedeno's signing, his path has been thoroughly blocked by the Mets, leaving him with a reserve outfielder role at best. He certainly has the ability to out-hit Jay Payton, and probably should receive a couple hundred at-bats in an offense no longer geared around him. The low pressure situation might enable Perez's noticeable talents to shine, and you could find yourself with quite a steal on a bid of only a couple bucks.

7

87.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Ryan Christenson		4	1	.250	0	1	1	3	OF-5
ARI Diamondbacks		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	0		0		0		0
2001 Age: 27	5x5:	-1		0		-1		0

With the Brewers picking him up in the Rule Five draft, they apparently prefer Christenson's established mediocrity to Alex Sanchez's growing pains. Hopefully they'll do the smart thing and send him back to Arizona, saving $25K in the process. Despite entering his peak years, Christenson has shown no improvement on offense and really shouldn't have a role larger than a AAA CF filler at this point.

88.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Corey Patterson		131	29	.221	4	14	4	26	OF-59
CH Cubs		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:R	4x4:	0		0		0		0		3
2001 Age: 21	5x5:	0		1		0		1		5

I'm quite biased here since the fortunes of my Cubs are almost completely tied to the development of Corey Patterson, but he's been two years young for his league up to this point. His plate discipline needs work, but Hitting Coach Jeff Pentland has had solid success in developing players like Sammy Sosa into superstars. He hasn't had much of a chance with too many other players due to the frequent roster turnover, although Corey should start settling into a regular routine this season. With 500 at-bats, 15/15 is probably a minimum goal, and he could be cruising towards $30 by the end of 2003. If his current owner is even slightly dissatisfied, grab him now, since you won't have another shot for a couple years in keeper leagues once Corey can show his stuff in a regular role.

89.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Midre Cummings		20	6	.300	0	1	0	1	OF-4
ARI Diamondbacks		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:R	4x4:	0		0		0		0
2001 Age: 29	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

Cummings has acceptable plate discipline without any speed or even much doubles' power. His value is tied to BA, and with the small number of at-bats that he usually receives, the results are too inconsistent to risk almost anything. He shouldn't hurt you as an in-season injury replacement, but I just don't see him in a larger role.

90.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Luis Saturria		5	1	.200	0	1	1	0	OF-9
STL Cardinals		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		0		0
2001 Age: 24	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

Since he was out of options heading into 2002, the Cardinals non-tendered him and immediately re-signed him to a minor league deal. Saturria has fairly good speed and some definite power potential, but he's never shown enough plate discipline to warrant practically any of his promotions. He needs another year of AAA before receiving any serious major league consideration, and unless he somehow finds a great hitting coach, I don't like his prospects for any time in the near future.

91.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Jack Cust		2	1	.500	0	0	0	0	OF-1
ARI Diamondbacks		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		0		0
2001 Age: 22	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

While his defensive abilities limit him to DH or an atrocious LF or 1B in the majors, all Cust has done is hit in the upper minors. His OPS over the last three seasons is over .940, including a year each at A+, AA, and AAA ball. He's certainly worth a normal $10 rookie price when he finally finds a full-time major league job, and Arizona needs to look into sending him to an AL team for a couple of younger prospects. Cust deserves to play from the beginning of 2002, so you should make every effort to acquire him wherever he does make the majors, since he could be looking at a value in at least the mid-teens right from the start.

92.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Dante Powell		6	2	.333	0	0	0	5	OF-9
SF Giants		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		0		0
2001 Age: 27	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

Powell will remain stuck in AAA, his solid power and speed going to waste due to horrible plate discipline. He'd be a solid 5th outfielder for a lot of teams, and would likely post double-digit homers and steals in a ful-time role, but his OBP would limit him to the lower third of the lineup. He's unlikely to see much major league time for another year or two, if ever.

93.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Jeff Abbott		42	11	.262	0	5	0	5	OF-18
FLO Marlins		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:L	4x4:	-1		0		0		0		1
2001 Age: 28	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

Abbott showed very little this year after Florida swapped former prospect Julio Ramirez to acquire him. He has a chance to hang on with a team with little outfield depth like Florida, but he doesn't really have much potential. His upside appears to be near to Jay Payton's performance the last two years, and I'd be extremely hesitant to draft him for my team.

94.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Rob Ducey		73	17	.233	3	12	0	10	OF-18
PHI / MON		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		0		0
2001 Age: 36	5x5:	-1		1		-1		0

A year after being basically traded for himself on the Philadelphia-Montreal shuttle, he changed course to involve Toronto instead of Montreal. Ducey has relatively decent plate discipline with a little power and reportedly acceptable defense around the outfield. There's no reason to expect him to find much more playing time as he's only ever been close to a fourth outfielder's spot before, and thirty-seven year-olds don't receive too many opportunities when younger and cheaper guys are normally available.

95.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Adrian Brown		31	6	.194	1	2	2	3	OF-7
PIT Pirates		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:S    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		0		0		12
2001 Age: 27	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0		20

While he missed almost the entire year due to injury, there's little reason to expect Brown not to bounce back strongly. He has both solid plate discipline and significant SB potential. If he's back at full strength, he's easily Pittsburgh's best bet to play centerfield and hit leadoff. Monitor Pirate Spring Training lineups to determine his probable role, and bid up to double-digits if he appears to be starting..

96.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Mark Smith		194	47	.242	6	18	0	28	OF-65
MON Expos		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		0		0
2001 Age: 31	5x5:	-1		1		0		1

Mark Smith received more wasted at-bats last year than almost any other player; Brad Wilkerson's progress was severely stunted due to Jeff Torborg's fascination with Smith. Although Smith owns decent plate discipline, he has no real tools and should be left as a fifth outfielder if he's even in the majors at all. Don't draft him, as his limited playing time could disappear quite quickly.

97.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Jason Conti		4	1	.250	0	0	0	1	OF-1
ARI Diamondbacks		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		0		0
2001 Age: 26	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

Conti displayed some offensive potential a few years ago, but I doubt that he'll be able to establish himself as a major league starter. He hasn't shown much plate discipline, power, or speed in the last two seasons, and while he could wind up as a decent fourth outfielder, I couldn't see bidding more than a buck on him if he even makes a team. His value seems very dependent on a high average, and his walk rates just doesn't appear to support his historical BA levels.

98.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Alex Escobar		50	10	.200	3	8	1	3	OF-16
NY Mets		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		-1		0		1
2001 Age: 22	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0		Res

As the player with the most long-term offensive upside in the Alomar trade, Escobar needs to overcome a history of poor plate discipline if he's ever going to convert his terrific tools into a major league skills' set. Cleveland will give him the opportunity to play every day soon, and he'll have to learn to take walks despite high strikeout totals. There are already some good teachers for that in Cleveland like Thome and Branyan, but I don't see any reason to bid more than $10 or so on Escobar for 2002 considering that the Indians have several established outfielders already on their roster.

99.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Mike Colangelo		91	22	.242	2	8	0	10	OF-43
SD Padres		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		-1		0
2001 Age: 24	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

Oakland gobbled up Colangelo as a minor league free agent, and if he can actually stay healthy, he has a good chance to start for them in the outfield. He has excellent on-base potential and very good plate discipline, and he's even displayed enough power where he could hit double-digit homers in a full-time job. The odds of him finding success aren't too great, but I've been watching him for a few years, and somebody with his skills and name needs the opportunity to win a major league job. He could surprise just like David Eckstein did last year.

100.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Mario Encarnacion		62	14	.226	0	3	2	3	OF-20
COL Rockies		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		-1		0
2001 Age: 23	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

Encarnacion has clearly displayed solid power potential and even some speed, but Oakland was willing to deal him to Colorado because his plate discipline hasn't developed in six seasons. Colorado needs to teach him to walk more as fast as possible, since he has a chance to win the left field job by the end of the year. At the very least, he'll need to establish himself as a fourth outfielder to retain long-term potential for the Rockies. I like his upside a lot in Colorado, and I'd be willing to bid several dollars even if he's just the fifth outfielder next year, since Rockie reserves with power potential tend to earn their keep.

101.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Jason Michaels		6	1	.167	0	1	0	0	OF-1
PHI Phillies		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		-1		0
2001 Age: 25	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

Michaels hasn't shown much in the minors, but the talent is there as we saw a very impressive power display in the Arizona Fall League. He needs to improve his plate discipline before he deserves any major league job, and the Phillies should have enough depth to leave him at AAA for another year or two. I don't expect him to a great player in the majors, although I'd definitely like to have him at a buck for 2003 or 4.

102.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Raul Gonzalez		14	3	.214	0	0	0	0	OF-2
CIN Reds		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		-1		0
2001 Age: 27	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

Gonzalez possesses very good plate discipline, a little speed, and very good doubles' power. He has no business in Cincinnati considering their horde of potential outfielders. Whenever he receives a callup in the next year or two, don't be afraid to pick him up for roster depth, as he has enough talent to at least challenge for a starting job on some teams, especially now that he's entering his peak years.

103.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Santiago Perez		81	16	.198	0	4	5	13	OF-27
SD Padres		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:S    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		-1		0		3
2001 Age: 25	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0		1

Perez has good speed, solid defense at almost any position, and some projectable power. He likely won't ever be more than a reserve due to weak plate discipline, but he might still be able to help a roto team in a small role. He signed with Texas for 2002, and if he secures a backup job with the Rangers or elsewhere, his SB upside makes him a very interesting gamble for an Ultra bench.

104.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Glen Barker		24	2	.083	0	1	4	12	OF-60
HOU Astros		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:S    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		-1		0
2001 Age: 30	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

He's a capable defensive replacement and pinch-runner, which leaves him as a September call-up on most teams. Houston kicked him out with the signing of Brian Hunter. Some team might find a use for him, but Barker doesn't have particularly good plate discipline, is fairly old for a speed guy at 31, and probably shouldn't be on your roto team.

105.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Adam Hyzdu		72	15	.208	5	9	0	7	OF-27
PIT Pirates		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		-1		0
2001 Age: 29	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

Hyzdu's displayed solid major league potential for years in AAA, showing both the plate discipline and power needed to play at the major league level. He'd be a capable fourth outfielder or more on several teams in baseball. Even in limited work, he should be worth a FAAB grab whenever he gets called up. If he lucks into more playing time, you should be quite happy with his production.

105.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Milton Bradley		220	49	.223	1	19	7	19	OF-67
MON Expos		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:S    T:R	4x4:	-1		0		-1		0		4
2001 Age: 23	5x5:	-1		0		-1		0		8

If he can refrain from punching any more umpires, Bradley has the potential for a solid major league career. His plate discipline is fairly solid, and his walk rate and speed keep his OBP at a good level. His upside depends on him converting his minor league doubles' power into major league home runs, and he definitely could hit 20/20 in a couple of years. Cleveland should be pleased with his production, and they need to play him full-time in order to determine the extent of Bradley's capabilities.

107.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Cory Aldridge		5	0	.000	0	0	0	1	OF-4
ATL Braves		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:R	4x4:	-2		-1		-1		0
2001 Age: 22	5x5:	-2		0		-2		0

Despite rumors of breaking camp with Atlanta, they wisely returned Aldridge to AA for his first full season above A-ball. He has some power potential, but his plate discipline is nothing special at all. Even if Atlanta doesn't care about unacceptable walk rates when they promote their prospects, you certainly should. He's still a few years away from contributing in the majors, despite whatever pronouncements you may hear in Spring Training.

108.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Robert Perez		5	0	.000	0	0	0	0	OF-1
MIL Brewers		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-2		-1		-1		0
2001 Age: 32	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		0

Perez had some potential once, but he just doesn't have much upside left at 33. His plate discipline has never been even slightly acceptable in the majors, and none of his other tools warrant additional playing time. Leave him off your roster unless you want to take the chance that his solid contact rate will keep his BA closer to the .300s he's posted in the minors, instead of his normal hovering below the Mendoza Line.

109.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Jalal Leach		10	1	.100	0	1	0	0	OF-3
SF Giants		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:L	4x4:	-2		-1		-1		-1
2001 Age: 32	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		0

Leach finally found his first cup-of-coffee after over a decade in the minors. He's developed into a capable major league hitter with acceptable plate discipline. His BA varies too wildly because he swings at most anything, but since the Giants have cut him loose, he doesn't have a particularly good chance to see the majors again. I like his potential as a fifth outfielder for the next year or two, even if he's probably too old to find regular work.

110.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Chad Mottola		7	0	.000	0	1	0	1	OF-7
FLO Marlins		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-2		-1		-1		-1
2001 Age: 29	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		0		Res

Mottola posted one of the relatively rare minor league 30/30 seasons at AAA Syrcacuse in 2000. He certainly has the hitting ability to hand around the majors, but he doesn't show the defensive ability to stay in the big leagues. His plate discipline is too questionable for us to expect a consistent BA, so don't risk a pick-up unless he seems assured of somewhat regular playing time.

111.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Tike Redman		125	28	.224	1	4	3	8	OF-35
PIT Pirates		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:L	4x4:	-2		-1		-1		-1
2001 Age: 28	5x5:	-2		0		-1		0

Redman's game is almost all speed, a potentially useful skill that drives his extra-base hits and even increases his singles. He could have real value as a leadoff guy if he could just regain the plate discipline of AA Altoona in 1999 where he posted a 52:52 BB:K ratio in 532 AB. His upside is limited by the fact that he's never really held a barely-acceptable 10% walk rate, but if he ever develops the ability to walk to first base on occasion, some team will give him a long look in the outfield. If he's in the majors, consider grabbing him for your bench since his SB potential is likely worth the BA risk.

112.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Reggie Taylor		7	0	.000	0	0	0	1	OF-2
PHI Phillies		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:R	4x4:	-2		-1		-1		-1
2001 Age: 24	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		-1

Taylor's been touted as the Phillies' top hitting prospect for years despite no statistical evidence of major league potential. He racks up impressive SB totals that wind up costing his teams runs, as he's never reached even a 70% SB rate above Rookie-ball, much less a run-efficient 75%. Since he also doesn't have major league power, I don't expect him to see much responsibility in a role larger than a backup outfielder, and you probably shouldn't be drafting him at all.

113.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Alex Hernandez		11	1	.091	0	0	0	0	OF-4
PIT Pirates		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:L	4x4:	-2		-1		-1		-1
2001 Age: 24	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		-1

He's shown very little plate discipline or speed, so his potential is tied to the maturation of his doubles' power and maintaining a high BA. He hasn't received enough consistent at-bats at AAA to determine if he really has a chance for success in the majors. Hernandez could develop into a marginal bench player, but that's no reason to gamble by drafting him in 2002.

114.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Ryan McGuire		54	10	.185	1	8	1	8	OF-9
FLO Marlins		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:L	4x4:	-2		-1		-1		-1
2001 Age: 29	5x5:	-3		0		-2		0

McGuire's atrocious major league BA seems quite low for his relatively acceptable plate discipline. He'll stick around as a pinch-hitter for a few more years, but I don't think he has the potential to help your team. Without power or speed tools, he'll continue posting negative numbers due to his low average.

115.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Todd Dunwoody		61	13	.213	1	3	0	6	OF-28
CH Cubs		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:L	4x4:	-2		-1		-1		-1
2001 Age: 26	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		-1

Dunwoody showed a little power potential in 1998 with Florida, but his plate discipline remains as bad as almost anyone at the high levels of major league baseball. He probably doesn't even deserve a AAA roster slot, since he was promoted before he learned to control the strike zone. Even if he is a nice guy, you're not playing to win if you wind up with him on your roster.

116.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Jacob Cruz		76	16	.211	1	7	0	7	OF-25
COL Rockies		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:L	4x4:	-2		-1		-2		-1
2001 Age: 28	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		-1

Cruz hasn't shown enough over the last several years to make me think that he'll have more success in Detroit than, for example, Colorado. He needs to focus on making contact in the hope that enough singles will increase his value to a team desperate for a capable centerfielder. Since he's not a long-term solution, there's no reason to expect he'll receive a long look from any team without an exceptional hot streak when he receives his customary few dozen at-bats in the majors.

117.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Darryl Hamilton		126	27	.214	1	5	3	15	OF-38
NY Mets		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:R	4x4:	-2		-1		-2		-1		1
2001 Age: 36	5x5:	-3		0		-2		0		3

Hamilton has very good plate discipline, BA, OBP, and even some doubles' power. While he might be too old to make a comeback, the skills are still there based on his 2001 19:20 BB:K ratio. If he finds a job as a fourth outfielder, you shouldn't be afraid to grab him as he retains some potential to contribute to your roto team in a limited capacity.

118.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
John Mabry		154	32	.208	6	20	1	14	OF-41
STL / FLO		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:R	4x4:	-3		-2		-2		-1
2001 Age: 30	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		0		Res

Mabry's AB-induced increased counting numbers from 1996 with St. Louis have earned him several more shots in the majors than his skills probably deserve. His OBP has been below .300 for three straight years, and he keeps aging without any improvement in his plate discipline. There's no reason to pick him up unless you're competing for lowest batting average in your league.

119.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Lyle Mouton		17	1	.059	0	1	0	1	OF-11
FLO Marlins		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-3		-2		-2		-1
2001 Age: 32	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		-1

Baseball Weekly predicted that Mouton would be the first overall expansion pick for Tampa Bay in 1997. Looking at his statistics, that projection makes even less sense to day than it did at the time. On a good day, he's a capable fifth outfielder and right-handed pinch-hitter, but he's 33 now and doesn't have any of the upside of youth. He shouldn't hurt you badly if you need at-bats, although I don't know why you'd want to risk a pick-up considering the wealth of talent elsewhere in these lists.

120.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Deion Sanders		75	13	.173	1	4	3	6	OF-17
CIN Reds		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:L	4x4:	-3		-2		-2		-1		1
2001 Age: 33	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		-1		1

Sanders had one of the great debuts of the 2001 season, immediately followed by horrible pain and suffering for both Reds' fans and his roto owners. Those of us that realized he had little chance to successfully return smiled gleefully as we spent our draft dollars on more useful players, perhaps even guys that had played the game professionally sometime in the last three seasons. With hard work and dedication, he could establish himself as a quality pinch-runner, but I don't want to risk the BA damage on my team.

121.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Kimera Bartee		15	0	.000	0	1	0	0	OF-11
COL Rockies		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-3		-2		-2		-1
2001 Age: 28	5x5:	-4		-1		-2		-1

The Cubs signed him as the only right-handed outfielder in this year's minor league free agent class. Hopefully they'll realize that he really doesn't belong in the majors in any month that isn't September. Bartee's been reported to be Detroit owner Mike Ilitch's favorite player, so maybe they'll be nice and trade us someone like Matt Anderson for a centerfielder with decent defense. His plate discipline doesn't support even the marginal BA necessary to find SB opportunities, so you won't find him on my rosters any time soon.

122.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Chad Hermansen		55	9	.164	2	5	0	5	OF-21
PIT Pirates		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-3		-2		-2		-2		Res
2001 Age: 23	5x5:	-4		-1		-2		-1

Considering the damage that over-promotion and bad hitting instruction did to his career, Cam Bonifay and Richie Hebner ought be mowing this guy's lawn for the next few decades. Hermansen still posseses very good power and speed potential, but he needs to learn plate discipline in order to maximize his gifts. Without additional control of the strike zone, he'll be stuck as a AAA player for years. Since he's out of options, the Pirates should strongly consider keeping him and giving him 300 or more at-bats. They're likely going nowhere this year, and salvaging Hermansen's career would at least give them a nice potential trade chit.

123.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Eric Davis		156	32	.205	4	22	1	17	OF-48
SF Giants		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:R	4x4:	-3		-2		-2		-2		5
2001 Age: 24	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		-1		6

Davis will not be joining this year's retirees in the Hall of Fame due to one of the worst injury histories of the last two decades. We don't have to worry about assigning value to his declining skills, since he's finally done playing. Davis' rookie card was once one of the hottest baseball cards on the market but has since declined to around a fourth of its former value. One of the golden stars of the mid-80's finally hangs it up after two amazing comebacks from early retirement and then cancer.

124.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Brad Wilkerson		117	24	.205	1	5	2	11	OF-38
MON Expos		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:L	4x4:	-3		-2		-2		-2		Res
2001 Age: 24	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		-1		Res

Wilkerson's benching in lieu of Mark Smith was one of the more inexcusable acts of the 2001 season. He's clearly ready to produce at the major league level, and he has immediate 15/15 potential from the moment he's handed a full-time starting job. With his speed and power talents, Wilkerson could earn $10 during his first full year in the majors, but make sure the Expos will play him before making that investment.

125.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Damon Buford		85	15	.176	3	8	0	11	OF-34
CH Cubs		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-4		-3		-2		-2		5
2001 Age: 31	5x5:	-4		-2		-3		-1		3

Buford plays decent defense that should earn him a spot as a fifth outfielder, but he just doesn't have enough offensive talent to deserve a regular spot in the majors. Now that he's on the downside of his career, he'll be looking for work every spring until he retires. Boston grabbed him back, and he has a good chance to replace Darren Lewis as a backup; he'll quite likely earn about $0, so there's no reason to pick him up for your team.

126.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Fernando Seguignol		50	7	.140	0	5	0	0	OF-14
MON Expos		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:S    T:R	4x4:	-4		-3		-3		-2		1
2001 Age: 26	5x5:	-4		-2		-3		-2		3

I know that his plate discipline is quite bad, but Seguignol could probably perform as "good" as Lee Stevens if given a full-time job. Montreal's shown no faith in him, and as he enters his prime years, some team should really grab him and give him 400 at-bats to see if his minor league potential can translate into major league numbers with regular play. Avoid him unless he has that full-time job, because his BA is too irregular to risk a roster spot.

127.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Eric Valent		41	4	.098	0	1	0	3	OF-8
PHI Phillies		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:L	4x4:	-4		-3		-3		-2
2001 Age: 24	5x5:	-5		-2		-3		-2

Valent has displayed extreme power potential along with a consistent .350 OBP throughout the minors. He definitely could have a few years of success, but he's more likely to wind up in a part-time role in Philadelphia for now. Consider spending a low Ultra pick on him, and you could see a nice value bonus by the middle of the season.

128.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Peter Bergeron		375	79	.211	3	16	10	53	OF-101
MON Expos		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:L    T:R	4x4:	-6		-4		-4		-3		16
2001 Age: 23	5x5:	-3		-1		-2		-1		13

Bergeron's another Expos' prospect who needs regular playing time. His plate discipline has been fairly bad in almost 1000 major league at-bats, so he'll need to finally show his potential at the major league level this year or risk getting stuck as a backup outfielder for most of his career. I like Bergeron's upside, but you can't risk more than a couple dollar bid on him, since he could easily burn you as bad as he hurt his 2001 owners.

129.		AB	H	BA	HR	RBI	SB	R		Position(s)
Derek Bell		156	27	.173	5	13	0	14	OF-49
PIT Pirates		DV		DTCD		AV		ATCD		LABR/Tout
B:R    T:R	4x4:	-6		-5		-5		-4		6
2001 Age: 32	5x5:	-6		-3		-4		-3		7

Bell's pants are an affront to everyone that's ever played the game. His abilities are based around maintaining an unconscionably high contact rate, and without plate discipline to fall back upon when he struggles, Bell will continue to turn in seasons like this one. You don't want him on your team under any circumstances, for the same reason that you no longer style your fashion after Hammer. Make sure the Bell doesn't toll for you.

We'll review National League East minor league free agents and AAA/AA prospects on Friday.

Today's Fantasy Rx: You've probably noticed that aside from most of the current NL outfielder starters, the potential in this group of 129 players lies mostly in young speed guys who might find more playing time. Along with spending a couple dozen dollars on your first four starting outfielders, strongly consider leaving that last slot for a Brian Hunter, or someone like him that has the potential to single-handedly bump you up a couple points in steals without risking more than a buck or two. Most of your OF strategy will be a default based on the somewhat rarer infield talents, but there's little reason not to take advantage of the probable nice bargains in 2002 drafts.