by Tim Polko
Woo hoo! We had our first server malfunction today where no one could access the site,
including us, leaving us unable to update until later in the morning. How long did it last?
That's the beauty of modern technology; we don't really even know. Isn't that wonderful? So
please accept our server's apology if you tried to access this earlier. It's a bad server,
and we're not going to let it use up all our bandwidth playing Global Thermonuclear War anymore.
Without further adieu, in attempt to distract you from the tedious hours of limited news and
almost no free agent signings while major league personnel get soused in Boston, your tired and
cranky Rotohelp staff of two is proud to present:
Minor League Free Agents and AAA/AA Prospects from the NL
We know, we know. Woo hoo to you too. Enjoy.
National League East
Atlanta Braves
Minor League Free Agents:
Howard Battle, 29, B:R, T:R. Battle had two exceptionally good years in 1998 and 1999
in AA and AAA respectively, but he's been unable to sustain either the power or decent plate
discipline that he exhibited in those seasons. He has enough talent to contribute in a small
role, although I doubt he'll have much impact for either a major league team or yours.
Willis Otanez, 28, B:R, T:R. Otanez had a very solid year for AAA Rochester in 1998,
but his power has faded significantly at the expense of only a slight improvement in plate
discipline. He could develop into a marginal utility player if the trends continue; I don't
expect that will be enough to secure him more than another cup-of-coffee or two.
Prospects:
Mike Hessman, 23, B:R, T:R. Hessman has significant power skills only matched by his
total incompetency at commanding the strike zone. He improved his plate discipline
significantly in a return trip to AA Greenville this season, managing to eke out a 39:124 BB:K
ratio. Fortunately, he did impress quite a few people by cracking a walk-off grand slam with
two outs in the bottom of the ninth to win the AFL Championship. He had a very uneventful fall
other than that one hit, but I still expect Atlanta to promote him to AAA. He's going to see a
lot more time at 1B than 3B considering the wealth of prospects around the rest of the
infield, and his upside remains somewhere between that of Russ Davis and Russ Branyan.
Florida Marlins
Minor League Free Agents:
None.
Prospects:
Heath Honeycutt, 24, B:R, T:R. He'll need a 3rd year in AA before we'll really know
if he can play in the majors. He's only displayed doubles power and a little speed so far,
and his plate discipline is fairly bad. While he's shown glimpses of ability, I suspect the
only way he'll get significant major league time is if the Marlins rebuild again from the
ground up without Lowell, Millar, etc.
Montreal Expos
Minor League Free Agents:
Javier Fuentes, 26, B:R, T:R. He's had no time above AA despite career minor league
numbers of 176:157 BB:K in 1289 AB. The obvious downside is that he's only averaging about
244 PA a year and his window is beginning to close. There's probably some really obvious
reason such as a complete lack of defensive ability that is restricting his at-bats, but he's
shown enough on-base potential where he really should see a few AAA at-bats.
Prospects:
Rob Sasser, 26, B:R, T:R. Sasser had a very solid year for AAA Toledo in 2000, hitting
over 50 extra-base hits in 487 at-bats. He regressed very badly with the Expos this year,
and considering the number of errors that he accumulated in limited play, he'll need to
impress some scouts quickly if he wants to have more than one more cup-of-coffee or so.
Scott Hodges, 22, B:L, T:R. While Hodges has decent power and occasional plate
discipline, he needs to improve in most areas of his game before he can advance past AA. He
has plenty of time to mature into a solid 3B for a few seasons, but if he wants a longer
career than that, he'll need to have a solid 2002 in his return to Harrisburg.
New York Mets
Minor League Free Agents:
Matt Franco, 31, B:L, T:R. An experienced pinch-hitter and corner utility player,
Franco doesn't have enough tools to keep him in the majors on a consistent basis. His plate
discipline is very solid, and he could help a team as the 25th guy on the roster, but there's
no reason for teams to go out of their way to keep him around. He signed with the Braves,
where he should get a long look in spring training, especially if they don't re-sign the
unrelated Julio Franco.
Mike Terhune, 25, B:S, T:R. Terhune's developed some plate discipline in the low-level
minors, but has neither enough power nor speed to impress anyone. I'd be surprised to see him
reach any higher than an occasional AAA appearance unless he starts to drive the ball
consistently.
Prospects:
Ty Wigginton, 23, B:R, T:R. The Mets have promoted Wigginton very aggressively despite
only rare exhibitions of plate discipline. He has significant power potential for the majors,
but his upside will be limited until he learns to control the strike zone. There's no reason
the Mets can't leave him at AAA for another season or two until he's dominating the competition
before considering him for a promotion. He could probably hold his own as a utility player
right now, but he could exceed those limited expectations if he receives the needed development
time.
Rodney Nye, 24, B:R, T:R. Nye also has the potential for a decently successful major
league career, but he needs another year at AA Binghamton to refine his acceptable plate
discipline. More importantly, he needs to convert his doubles' power into over-the-fence
shots, and there's no reason to rush him with Wigginton already blocking his immediate path
to the majors.
Philadelphia Phillies
Minor League Free Agents:
Kevin Orie, 28, B:R, T:R. Orie has finally matured into a very capable third baseman,
combining his improved plate discipline with the logical development of the good doubles'
power he showed from the moment in broke into the majors back in 1997. While 2001 was likely
his peak season, Orie could at least be a very capable back-up for a few years and even start
when necessary. The Cubs re-signed him, and there's not a single intelligent reason for
keeping Ron Coomer over Orie. He should earn an easy $5 with over a hundred at-bats, and
everyone else in your league will likely avoid him for fear of getting burned again.
J.P.Roberge, 28, B:R, T:R. Roberge has significant power, good speed, and makes enough
contact to compensate for a lack of plate discipline. He would be an acceptable 25th man for
almost any team in the majors right now, and his exclusion from a September cup-of-coffee list
is hard to believe when examining his statistics. I'd be slightly concerned about his BA at
the major league level, but his power and speed should still allow him to contribute to most
roto teams.
Prospects:
None - they definitely need an immediate replacement if they deal Rolen.
National League Central
Chicago Cubs
Minor League Free Agents:
Rick Short, 28, B:R, T:R. Limited power above AA, very good plate discipline, and
consistent defense should warrant at least some brief time in the majors. He doesn't have
as many tools as some of the other guys on this list, and like all minor league free agents,
he'll need to impress immediately when he does receive a chance to play.
Prospects:
Ryan Gripp, 23, B:R, T:R. Gripp was unable to carry his fantastic stats from low A
into a rushed promotion to AA. The Cubs significantly erred in this quick advancement, and
he didn't rebound back at high A to numbers nearly as good as 2000's. He still has the
potential to develop into a successful right-handed slugger, but he won't reach the majors
for another two or three years. I'd send him back to A-ball, watch him hit close to .400 for
a month, and then let him return to AA.
Dave Kelton, 21, B:R, T:R. While concerns linger about both his defensive ability and
plate discipline, he's succeeding at this point based on pure athletic ability. A move to the
OF was cut short by an injury that caused him to miss the second half of the season, but he
returned to have some noticeable success in the AFL. His strike zone judgement needs a lot
of work, and if the Cubs don't send him back to AA to refine his eye and work on his defense,
his timetable could be slowed down again by bouncing back and forth between minor league teams.
Cincinnati Reds
Minor League Free Agents:
Jose Amado, 26, B:R, T:R. Amado needs to find a team with enough vision to give him
a full year at AAA to see if he can show the power and fantastic plate discipline from his
two years at AA Wichita. He might be better off heading to Japan since his skills suggest
the possibility of great numbers in smaller parks. Regardless of where he ends up, he could
be helping out roto teams within two years if handled properly, although look for AAA success
before gambling FAAB.
Pete Rose, 31, B:L, T:R. He's never shown any power or plate discipline above AA and
is probably too old to worry about development. His father's legacy is a double-edged sword,
one that keeps him in baseball due to a little talent and a "name" attraction, but also one
that doesn't require any team but the Reds and Phillies to give him a long look.
Prospects:
Gabe Alvarez, 27, B:R, T:R. He's got power, plate discipline, and a bucketful of
errors. Alvarez has bounced around a bit since he was a top Padres' prospect, and he still
has the ability to succeed in the majors if given a little time. Unfortunately, he's already
a minor league journeyman with an uneven track record, and will need to impress a manager in
some spring training before he'll return to a big league per diem.
Houston Astros
Minor League Free Agents:
None.
Prospects:
Morgan Ensberg, 25, B:R, T:R. Ensberg is as ready for the majors as any prospect
reasonably can be expected to be. He combined a .397 OBP and .592 SLG at AAA New Orleans
with a solid 45:60 BB:K in 316 AB. His defense might occasionally annoy his manager, but his
offense should more than make up for it. He'll challenge Burroughs for offensive Rookie of
the Year based on the Enron advantage and has the tools to hold Houston's 3B job for many years.
Royce Huffman, 24, B:R, T:R. Huffman had a fantastic 2000 at A+ Kissimmee with a 84:49
BB:K ratio, 31 steals and 32 doubles. He only carried the power to AA Round Rock, with the
BB:K reversing itself and the steals dropping by almost two thirds. Since he also committed
an error every four games or so, I have reservations as to his potential in the Astros'
system. Houston has major leaguers at every infield position that range from acceptable to
two future Hall-of-Famers, and they also have at least one very good prospect at every
position. Huffman needs to rebound very strongly next year to assert himself in the system,
or he'll need a new organization next offseason if he wants to fulfill the potential he
displayed last season.
Milwaukee Brewers
Minor League Free Agents:
Mike Coolbaugh was discussed with National League 3B yesterday.
Micah Franklin, 29, B:S, T:R. Franklin's bounced around for years without much success
outside of great hitters' parks and the PCL. His plate discipline only supports questionable
averages, and while he still could put his limited skills together for some brief major league
success, he's really just more of a straight AAA player.
Prospects:
Josh Klimek, 27, B:L, T:R. Klimek's one of several Brewers' infield prospects that
performs decently but remains a few years old for his league. He's shown solid plate
discipline, power, and decent defense for three straight years at AA Huntsville but didn't
have enough AAA time to see if he could carry those stats through to the next level. He'll
return to AAA next year in an attempt to earn a few seasons' major league service time during
his peak years.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minor League Free Agents:
Bry Nelson, 27, B:S, T:R. Nelson has a AAA skills' set with decent plate discipline,
solid doubles' power, and acceptable defense. He has a little major league upside, and I find
it far more likely to see him spend a couple more years in the high minors before he'll receive
more than an occasional at-bat.
Prospects:
Rico Washington, 23, B:L, T:R. Washington put together some very impressive numbers as
a catcher in A-ball in 1999. He's carried his power to AA without much plate discipline, but
I suspect part of his slippage is due to the Pirates' lack of faith in him (refusing to add
him to the 40-man roster) and a shift away from his natural position of catcher. He has the
ability to mature into a very useful utility player, but probably should find an organization
that will put more faith in him. Unfortunately, barring a surprise Rule V pick, he's stuck
with Pittsburgh for at least another two years.
St. Louis Cardinals
Minor League Free Agents:
Ryan Balfe, 25, B:S, T:R. He has good power, very little plate discipline, and a
marginal chance for success in the majors. A switch-hitter that can play 1B, 3B, and OF is
always nice to have around, so he'll have plenty more chances, and I expect he'll spend a few
of his peak years for some intelligent organization as a Craig Paquette-like bat off the bench.
Lou Lucca, 30, B:R, T:R. A combination of very solid power and little plate discipline
leave Lucca as one of the two types of prototypical AAAA player, with the ability to hit for
enough power to overcome his weak control of the strike zone instead of enough plate
discipline to overcome a lack of power. He should see a cup-of-coffee at some point but teams
might not waste a roster spot on him.
Prospects:
Troy Farnsworth, 25, B:R, T:R. Like most of the other offensive prospects in a very
weak Cardinals' system, Farnsworth has almost no plate discipline. Unlike many of the others,
he compensates with significant power potential. He'll never have much success in the majors
but could have a decent career of the 200 at-bat, 40 hit, 10 HR type.
National League West
Arizona Diamondbacks
Minor League Free Agents:
Sean McNally, 29, B:R, T:R. McNally will have little success above AAA because his
decent power gifts are obscured by extremely bad plat discipline. He doesn't have any other
tools to impress scouts, so should continue as primarily a middle-of-the-order AAA batter for
several more years.
Prospects:
Brian Dallimore, 27, B:R, T:R. Dallimore used the great hitters' park at AA El Paso to
his advantage, posting some superficially impressive counting numbers and BA. Of course, he
plate discipline didn't improve, his doubles' power didn't improve, he was caught stealing
more times than he successfully advanced, and his BA remains totally out of context with the
rest of his career. Dallimore will be lucky to even get a cup-of-coffee at this rate, but
the Diamondbacks have shown themselves to be poor enough talent evaluators where they'll
probably give him a long look at AAA this year, especially since he's still too young to be
on their major league roster.
Colorado Rockies
Minor League Free Agents:
Mike Bell, 26, B:R, T:R. Bell has neither enough power nor plate discipline to have
much success above the AAA player. He's maturing into a solid AAAA guy who should receive
a few chances with his dad's team in Colorado, but I wouldn't want his questionable and
fluctuating numbers on my team.
Prospects:
Ryan Owens, 23, B:R, T:R. Owens has some power, speed, and shows flashes of plate
discipline, but he appears a few years away from putting his skills together. I'd expect
yet another year at AA, although if he makes the high levels of the Colorado system, he'll
begin to receive more opportunities from the clubs that still don't recognize park effects.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Minor League Free Agents:
Tony Schifano, 26, B:R, T:R. He's never shown any tools that would make me think he
could hold a job above the AA level. He makes enough contact where I think he'll bounce
around for a few years, filling in where teams need IF help, but I just don't see a major
league career for him.
Prospects:
Eric Riggs, B:S, T:R. Riggs has a nice package of skills that should result in some
time in the majors. While repeating AA in 2001, he improved every aspect of his game except
his speed, raising his BA, power, and walk rate while dropping his strikeouts almost in half.
He doesn't have a lot of major league upside, but a switch-hitting middle infielder with gap
power and plate discipline will have plenty of opportunities in spring training.
San Diego Padres
Minor League Free Agents:
Tony DeRosso, 25, B:R, T:R. He hasn't really shown enough at AA to make me think he'd
have more than sporadic AAA success, so he should look for a team very weak at 3B that can
give him a year or two of development time. His glimpse of solid power at AA Trenton in 2000
should help him get a few more chances around baseball, and he has a few more years to advance
the last two levels.
Prospects:
Sean Burroughs, 20, B:L, T:R. He's dominated every level of baseball including the
Little League World Series, and he certainly has the bloodlines to expect major league
success considering his dad's very successful career. Burroughs has been two years young for
his league in both AA and AAA, so he's on schedule to mature into his power in his third major
league season or so. His plate discipline was a little weak this year, but he's still so far
advanced for his age that he'll still have immediate success. I'm concerned that the Padres
may slot him lower in the lineup, but I'd stick him in the two hole while switching Klesko and
Nevin, giving Sean a solid OBP and speed guy ahead of him in Jimenez and a pure right-handed
power hitter behind him in Nevin. He'll earn $10 next year without breaking a sweat, and
could head towards $20 very quickly if he can maintain his BA with additional at-bats.
Alex Pelaez, 25, B:R, T:R. Pelaez has shown both decent power and plate discipline in
his four-year minor league career, although he's been unable to combine his skills into a
really successful season. If he wants to have any chance with Padres, he needs to impress
right now. Not only do they have one of the best farms systems in the country, but Pelaez
has a top pick ahead of him in Burroughs, and two more right behind in Nady and Jake Gautreau.
San Francisco Giants
Minor League Free Agents:
None.
Prospects:
Tony Zuniga, 26, B:R, T:R. They should disband Major League Baseball if this guy isn't
taken in the Rule V Draft, especially with all the bitching and moaning about the lack of
quality third basemen in the game today. Zuniga has shown solid power at every level of the
system along with solid walk rates and relatively good to great plate discipline. He doesn't
even make many errors at third, and he would have had more success than Pedro Feliz if the
Giants had kept him on their 40-man roster. If given a chance in spring training, he'll win
their 3B job, but he really should be picked up tomorrow by some savvy organization that needs
a 3B/1B RH bat off the bench.
Sean Burroughs is this third base class, and he single-handedly makes this one of the best
overall days of rookies. He and Josh Beckett are the easy front-runners for 2002 National
League Rookie of the Year, and Burroughs should validate all his many praised abilities in
the coming season. Ensberg and Kelton are the 2nd tier, but both of them have received
experience at other positions, and Kelton especially might have a better chance to reach
the majors faster at a less demanding defensive position. There's talent here that can
help immediately for your roto team, and several of these guys are certainly at least worth
high minor league picks.
Today's Fantasy Rx: Here's where I normally start begging for requests to review
specifics teams for Sunday's article. However, as I'll certainly have enough discussion
material with all the deals, I'll instead request Rule V draft commentary. The draft is
tomorrow afternoon, and I'll be discussing it in this Friday's article since 2nd tier AL
3B are in short supply, and Rule V is as much fantasy than news-related since they all need
to spend 2002 in the majors. I'll run any comments I receive with pick analysis, so schedule
some time to pay attention to tomorrow' draft, and you might show up in my Friday column.
Click
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